Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
On paper, at least, Life is Good will not be chasing. Eye to eye, head to head. Yes, Jackie's Warrior is quick. But I can't help but seeing that 21:4 opening fraction in LIG's only sprint. Sub :22 and :44:2 is a real possible start. Both will be tested, and it should be fun to watch.
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I think it’s possible Jackie’s Warrior benefitted from the sloppy sealed tack last time. The last 2 races that day hinted the track may have changed. If it did, it may have helped carry him a bit off that rapid pace. IMO, that race may not have been quite as good as it looks. Normally I’d be looking to beat a horse like that. But even if you toss that last race he’s a terror off the prior race. So it’s not you’d be betting against a mediocre horse that may have been advantaged last time. He’s a high quality sprinter either way. Still, I don’t want him.
I think LIG is the better horse, but I’m not a big fan of betting layoff horses in Grade 1 races on the dirt even if the trainer is good with layoffs.
For me, the only option would be to bet against both of them. If I had a strong opinion on 3rd best and the track wasn’t being especially kind to speed, I’d probably try that. But even if they go at it hard early I may not come up with the right horse to pick them up. That next group is VERY promising, but it’s a lot to ask at this stage to beat BOTH of these horses and it’s not clear (at least to me) which one to take.
