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Originally Posted by cj
Everyone says it is speed figures, but I think it has turned back to trainers, especially when there is a change. A lot of races these days are, sadly, more about the people than the animals in my opinion.
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Agree. The value IMO is a horse running a top race without a flashing red light saying I'm ready to win.
For me these situations happen due to trainer changes or a specific trainer pattern.
A close second is track bias. Gold rails and bet backs.
I have done very well betting back horses from Cigar Mile day at Aqueduct that had no chance that day due to the way the front end played.
Several horses have won or hit the top 2 at nice prices.
