Conformation plays a big role as does x-rays legs etc.. How a horse walks in addition to the bloodlines. A lot of yearlings go for cheaper (i.e. 5k-20k) because they may have a conformation issue or bone chips. All recoverable but may take time...
Majority of the time it is a wild ass gamble. There are so many 500k+ 1m+ yearlings that never race or win a maiden.
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