Quote:
Originally Posted by MJC922
I think you're talking about handicapping today's race and I'm talking about assessing the impact of energy distribution in a previous race. In theory if I'm carrying forward more accurate data from previously rated races as inputs to today's handicapping process then I'm setting myself up for success against those who aren't.
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That's what I'm interested in also. I'm trying to measure the past more accurately.
The complexity for me is that each horse is different in terms of how it reacts to various pace and flow conditions even when the running styles are the same. IMO, all the formulas and handicapping dictums are wrong some of the time other than if we are talking about the "average" horse.
So the trick to getting value is not being on the same page as everyone else. It's understanding where all the commonly held views are wrong for some individual horse.
