Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
Has he been confirmed yet?...I don't waste much time watching sure things...
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Are you sure about that?
https://www.sportsbettingdime.com/ne...ation-at-risk/
Democrats that may vote to confirm Kavanaugh
Democratic Senator
Odds To Vote Yea
Joe Manchin (D – West Virginia) 3-7
Joe Donnelly (D – Indiana) 3-7
Heidi Heitkamp (D-North Dakota) 2-3
Claire McCaskill (D-Missouri) 1-1
While the majority of Democrats in the Senate will certainly vote against Kavanaugh, there are a handful of red-state Dems who may feel compelled to break with their party.
Three Democrats — Joe Manchin, Joe Donnelly, and Heidi Heitkamp — voted to confirm Gorsuch last year, and they’ll be under pressure from their pro-Trump electorates to also confirm Kavanaugh. All three senators are up for reelection in states that Trump carried by a wide margin.
Claire McCaskill voted against Gorsuch last year, and her Republican rival has used that to relentlessly attack her. Facing a tough reelection, she may opt to confirm Kavanaugh.
Republicans that may vote against Kavanaugh
Republican Senator
Odds To Vote Yea
Susan Collins (R-Maine) 1-4
Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) 1-3
Rand Paul (R-Kentucky) 1/20
There are only two names to seriously consider here: Susan Collins and Lisa Murkowski. The two female, pro-choice Republicans hold Kavanaugh’s fate in their hands. During his hearing for the D.C. Circuit, Kavanaugh stated that he considered Roe v. Wade binding, but he’s since ruled in favor of abortion restrictions. Both Collins and Murkowski have stated that they will not vote to confirm a Supreme Court Justice who would vote to repeal Roe v. Wade.
The two Senators voted against the repeal of the Affordable Care Act last year, which stripped McConnell of the majority. They could conceivably do the same with Kavanaugh. However, both Collins and Murkowski voted to confirm Gorsuch and have voted in line with Trump about 80% of the time.
And then there’s Rand Paul. The Kentucky senator “expressed concerns” about Kavanaugh, but we’ve seen this all before. He did the same with the ACA repeal and tax bill, only to fall in line when it came time to vote. Nothing to see here.
Confirmation Odds
Odds Kavanaugh is confirmed before the 2018 Midterms 3-17
Over/Under on Yea votes Kavanaugh receives 53.5
