Sidebar

[classhandicapper]

I used to love taking advantage of biases, but imo there are fewer opportunities now and they have become more complex.

Not only do you have deal with biases when they exist, the maintenance crews often seem sharp enough to add or subtract water during the card to change the track from race to race. So while you looking at a small sample of races trying to determine whether the results of the first few races were just random noise, bad handicapping on your part, or an actual bias, the crew is changing the water content of the surface and changing whatever was going on to begin with.

Then when you do think there actually was a bias, pretty much every reasonably competent handicapper on Twitter is screaming about it. So everyone knows and everyone is compiling a list of the same horses to play back as you. At this point, those kinds of lists may underperform the track take when you add in the occasional mistake you are inevitably going to make.

I think bias is more valuable when you firmly disagree with the social media and track coverage or if you play at a non major track that no one is paying attention to, especially if you multi track and the horses ship.