Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board


View Single Post
Old 02-20-2021, 06:47 AM   #3
Onesome
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2018
Posts: 246
A betting system will never turn -EV picks into +EV, you're just screwing around with the distribution of returns and in the longrun youre going to have the same return %.

Other things im hearing about not playing short price horses because they are a short price and instead to wheel them in exotics is god awful. It's the fav/longshot bias idiotic notion that allow losers to think a horse that goes off at even can't possibly be +EV. And on top of that somehow a horse not worth it in win pools is worth it in exotics is crazy.

Now using recovery type bankroll management you have a big problem in NA racing...the fact that 30-50% of the pool comes in at the final minute, so you can't assume odds. Oh and this idiot says if the odds go up it's to your advantage; nope people who are smarter then you have bet other horses, your bet is really -EV.

You've been on this board for 16years, cmon man you should know better than this.
Onesome is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
 
» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 04:57 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.