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Old 12-10-2020, 08:41 AM   #8
castaway01
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Join Date: Jul 2009
Location: NJ
Posts: 3,822
Quote:
Originally Posted by westernmassbob View Post
If I look at a card or a particular race and find a great betting opportunity I will never let the tracks take out percentage scare me off of the play. It is almost like saying you have a lock on a horse but because the odds dropped from 5-1 to 2-1 you decide not to play it. If I’m confident enough in a bet and a track takes out 5-10% more then at others who cares? I still win. BTW The great Andy Beyer recommends betting those gimmic pick 6 races only on the mandatory pay off days which is what I do the majority of the time. He also favors the pick 5 over the 6 and I totally agree. Not showing the will pays is a different topic altogether. It’s just odd they are the only track that does this.
As to your third sentence, there is absolutely no one alive who would be profitable taking 2-1 on 5-1 shots they liked, so your logic shows you're probably not a winning player. The fact that people are willing to play into ridiculous takeouts just because "there's a horse I like" is why tracks can throw these predatory bets at us and we just fall in line because "jackpot".
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