Quote:
Originally Posted by dilanesp
The spread is easier to use as an example. But mathematically, the money line works exactly the same. Small movements in the money line do not create a large enough edge, and due to massive variance you are going to need a very large sample of large line shifts before you can say for sure you are beating the game.
Randall, I understand math better than you do, and the psychology of and common fallacies of gambling. I can recognize rationalization and small sample sizes Those are really the only tools necessary to see that you are totally wrong about this. (Also, I highly doubt that many football or basketball bettors refuse in principle to bet point spreads. People are too degen in real life.)
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I won't address the rest of your post, (which I also disagree with)...but I'll say something about the comment of yours that I've isolated here:
None of us know each other here...nor do we know what each-other "knows". To state categorically that you supposedly "know" something BETTER than the next person does, does nothing to advance the conversation...and all it does is create hard feelings, and similar replies. All of us have our "knowledge-limits"...and I trust that you'll eventually discover yours.
