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Old 06-22-2016, 02:34 PM   #14
dilanesp
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Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 8,798
Quote:
Originally Posted by burnsy
So true, good post. I don't think the younger people realize how accurate it used to be. No small sample, that shit was deadly for a long period of time. EVERTHING changes, people don't always like it but it always does and in sports, adaptation is essential. This game is not played like it was 40 years ago and we used to read his stuff ALL THE TIME.
If you go to a roulette wheel, black or odd will at some point be "deadly" for a period of time....

It is a clear post hoc fallacy to assume that the reason Dosage no longer "works" is because of changes in breeding. The most obvious explanation is that Dosage was working with a very small sample so that there was no reason to think it was making statistically valid conclusions in the first place.
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