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Old 06-22-2016, 12:29 PM   #8
dilanesp
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Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 8,798
He has a very mixed legacy.

He certainly cared about the game, wrote about it, and studied it. And he was very intelligent.

But Dosage was a classic example of the over-statisticalization of the game based on overly small samples. And every year, around TC or BC time, I hear a bunch of BS statistics based on small samples and retroactive fitting (such as that Exaggerator couldn't win the Preakness because Derby runners-up never do). And Dosage was the grand-daddy of such theories-- a completely arbitrary, back-fitted theory that tried to predict something that had a tiny sample size.
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