Quote:
Originally Posted by PalaceOfFortLarned
You don't have to kick a man when he is down.
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Reality bites.
(Not actually aimed at you.)
Surprisingly, artful handicapping has a better chance of winning in this era than ever before.
However, most artful handicappers lack a reality component.
In this age, swinging for the fences (8/1 and up) will give you a
shot at about 12% of the winners. (And each winner must be cut out of the herd that contains 24 losers.)
The artfulness needs to be applied to analyzing who is likely to be a losing proposition among the low odds horses instead of stabbing at longshots.
It's a huge shift in mindset; one that few are willing to make.
