Clearly the more attractive Derby prep this weekend, from a betting standpoint.
The two former Baffert runners (
Harlocap & Reincarnate) look like the pacesetters, and may hook up in a duel. The Hartman runner could also contribute to the pace.
Reincarnate had a well publicized tough trip in the Rebel. Got cut off at the break and impeded in the lane, but still kept running.
Harlocap was near the very fast pace in the Risen Star, took the lead and faltered in a race that came apart late.
The winner of the Risen Star,
Angel Of Empire, and FOY runner up
Rocket Can will be among the top choices along with the above two runners.
So where's the value?
Gulp, I'm having a long look at the rail runner,
Bourbon Bash, for Lukas.
He also had a tough trip in the Rebel, getting carried out very wide into the clubhouse turn. Made a decent middle move into contention while a bit wide on the far turn, but couldn't go with the others. In his previous race he was also a bit wide, hit the front, but couldn't contain the winner. Gets a major jock upgrade to Reylu, and a virtual guaranteed better trip from the rail, and a solid pace to run at.
Knocks are that a few that beat him in the Rebel are back, and I'm not sure he can improve enough to turn the tables. Also, he was easily beaten by
Gun Pilot two back, who was pretty much a no show in the Rebel.
Maybe he gets a piece at a price...? Win is unlikely though.
Someone please talk me out of this
Who ya got?
