Sidebar

[Johnny V]

Originally Posted by Half Smoke

it's hard for me to believe that somebody would post this
it's so very, very wrong
the lines are very, very tight

I would love to see someone post 150 sports picks and show everybody how easy it is

that ain't gonna happen


having said that - winning betting sports is easier - (but not easy) - than winning at racing

I find the takeout in racing crushing - and I will never again make serious bets into a negative situation like that

I will sometimes make recreational bets


to review what everyone here knows but rarely mentions


WPS - around 17%

Exacta - around 20%

Tri - around 25%

and that's before breakage which can have a large impact on odds on faves



maybe some can

but I'm not Superman

I know I can't regularly beat a takeout like that

maybe, maybe, possibly if I put a ton of work into it - and then if I could I believe it would only be by a tiny % - but I'm not willing to do that

still, I love the game - and the excitement of a race - and the great challenge of handicapping and will make some small bets



glta


.

That standard bet 11-10 with that 4.55% hold is even much better when betting baseball. The baseball hold changes of course depending on the money line odds. So if you are getting a dime line the hold from the money line odds of 100 to -160 range for example is going to be about between the range of 2.33% to 1.52%. If you are betting into a 20¢ line within that odds range the hold is going to range from 4.35% to 2.88%.