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Old 01-11-2023, 07:50 AM   #56
Half Smoke
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Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 1,287
Quote:
Originally Posted by romankoz View Post
I don't bet on sports simply because I think it is too easy.

it's hard for me to believe that somebody would post this
it's so very, very wrong
the lines are very, very tight

I would love to see someone post 150 sports picks and show everybody how easy it is

that ain't gonna happen


having said that - winning betting sports is easier - (but not easy) - than winning at racing

the house take on the simple sports bets (not parlays) is only 4.55%

I find the takeout in racing crushing - and I will never again make serious bets into a negative situation like that

I will sometimes make recreational bets


to review what everyone here knows but rarely mentions


WPS - around 17%

Exacta - around 20%

Tri - around 25%

and that's before breakage which can have a large impact on odds on faves



maybe some can

but I'm not Superman

I know I can't regularly beat a takeout like that

maybe, maybe, possibly if I put a ton of work into it - and then if I could I believe it would only be by a tiny % - but I'm not willing to do that

still, I love the game - and the excitement of a race - and the great challenge of handicapping and will make some small bets



glta


.
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believe only half of what you see.....and nothing that you hear..................Edgar Allan Poe

Last edited by Half Smoke; 01-11-2023 at 07:53 AM.
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