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Old 01-08-2023, 04:19 PM   #47
thaskalos
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Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,549
Quote:
Originally Posted by romankoz View Post
I don't bet on sports simply because I think it is too easy. Now, don't take that meaning I think I can tip 90% winners but it is more about the fact there are only two teams involved per game. Only one team can win and one lose so broadly speaking it starts of at 50/50 or 1/1. In horseracing in an average field size of 10 (Aus average on my figures) it starts at 9/1.
Naturally the stats come into play to create a line/odds for the two teams and the ten runners.
It's "easier" to be wise in a two horse race than a 10 horse race hence I believe the poor bettors make it easier to win at horseracing than they do at sports for the bettors who REALLY study the form.
Hope what I am trying to say makes sense as a point of view albeit with my own twist to the two sports.
With the "chaos" involved in the 10-horse race, and the high parimutuel takeout that is exacted...isn't it possible that NO ONE can win without a substantial rebate? Is there proof out there to suggest that the non-rebated player can still beat this game?
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