The first book I bought on handicapping was "Betting Thoroughbreds" by Davidowitz in 1984. He explained in great detail how trainer's intent, form cycle, trips and other factors determine a horse's performance, and how the change in factors from race to race contribute to such volatility.
Having been weaned on the much more consistent races on the harness circuit, this was a major eye-opener for me.
In a nutshell, "Horses are not machines..."
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Playing SRU Downs - home of the "no sweat" inquiries...
Defying the "laws" of statistics with every wager.
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