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Old 07-27-2018, 11:24 PM   #12
Afleet
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Join Date: Nov 2014
Location: Missouri
Posts: 2,210
Quote:
Originally Posted by Redboard View Post
There’s no bigger fool’s errand than analyzing a small sample but here goes.
41 races (not counting July 23 & 26 which were sloppy & off the turf)
15(36%) won by betting favorite ( see 1sts below)
8(20%) won by second betting favorite ( see 2nds below)
(therefore 56% won by either 1st or 2nd favs)
7(17%) won by the third betting favorite (see 3rds below)
(therefore 73% were won by either 1st , 2nd , or 3rd favs)


Saratoga winners
July 20: 4 of 7, 1st of 10, 1st of 8, 3rd of 8, 4 of 10, 5 of 10, 3rd of 10, 2nd of 10, 1st of 8, 6 of 11
July 21: 3rd of 6, 3rd of 10, 4 of 6, 1st of 8, 5 of 8, 1st of 10, 1st of 8, 1st of 11, 1st of 8, 1st of 7, 3rd of 11
July 22: 2nd of 7, 1st of 8, 1st of 7, 3rd of 8, 4 of 8, 2nd of 10, 5 of 9, 2nd of 10, 1st of 5, 5 of 10
July 23: Sloppy & Off.
July 25: 4 of 7, 1st of 5, 2nd of 10, 1st of 6, 7 of 10(MSW), 2nd of 6, 2nd of 10, 3rd of 6, 1st of 6, 2nd of 12
July 26: Sloppy & off.
thanks for the numbers. I always thought Saratoga runs a slightly higher percentage of winning favorites than the average number-read that somewhere. There appear to be a few favorites tomorrow that are going to be difficult to beat, but I will try
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