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Old 02-08-2018, 04:27 PM   #8
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Originally Posted by AltonKelsey View Post
Kind of a classic case of the line being made off the body of work and not just the last race.

Not only does it make sense, but the public actually bets this way most of the time.

Now you might get a case where if the wise guys think that wide trip meant something, they might pound it much closer in odds to the 4, but its no certainty that happens.
This, except it's the 4 that's going to get pounded even further. Everything points to Even Money at post time. Way underlayed, but that's the way the betting usually goes.

#6 is the play. Came out of the same race, but broke awful. If she breaks and they let her run, she may run away from these slugs.
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