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Old 02-08-2018, 12:05 AM   #7
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If your just looking at the horse's last race, you could make the case that they were similar & the odds made no sense. If you were to look at their entire career, it's a different story. In each of their 2nd races they were entered for $20,000. The #3 finished 6th beaten 11 lengths & the #4 finished 2nd by a length & a 1/2. The #3 has raced in this same type of company 13 times with 2 wins, 3 places & one show, being off the board 7 times. The #4 has raced 5 times with 2 wins & 2 seconds, with it's lone off the board finish 4th by a length & a 1/2.
The #3 seems to have little to no ability to rate and it's chances of getting a clear lead with the #4 & #6 in the race are kind of remote. If you throw into that mix a weak pedigree & a cold trainer, the ML odds seem more rational.
This is not to say that the #4 is the likely winner. Bob Baffert's horse from the one hole is ratable as is #2. In the event of a early speed meltdown, either could take it at the end.
The fan base demographics are not particularly positive," he said. "I guess we can either risk alienating them or letting them die off. " -Bob Evans 6/25/2007

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Last edited by betovernetcapper; 02-08-2018 at 12:12 AM. Reason: spelling
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