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Old 09-07-2017, 08:23 PM   #19
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Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Originally Posted by Hong Kong Turf View Post
Interesting analysis Woodbine, and always great seeing other folks getting seriously involved with the Hong Kong game.

Just curious about the scaling of your speed figures, and in particular the 4th race. The way I assessed the 4th was as below average for the level, and more than 15 speed figure points below the 1st out winner in the 1st race. Did you make any manual adjustments for pace, etc there?

I am preparing some thoughts on tomorrow's Happy Valley card and will add them to this thread. Let's get some good discussion going.


race 4 was only about 3 points slow imo.
it was about 22 slower than race 1 however.
NO manual adjustment, as i want mine to be speed and nothing else.
pace would be handled separately, but that said it's rare for the pace to be very fast or very slow.
too many top riders there ensuring that others don't get away with murder.

race 10 was the only one that went too fast i think, where the leaders got the stitch.
r6 to a lesser extent.
in those cases the one that pace the race best invariably win.
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