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Posts Made By:
Parkview_Pirate
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
Today, 03:26 AM
Replies:
1
KY Derby Tote Analysis
Views:
161
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Hmmm. I'm fully aware I'm not the sharpest tool...
Hmmm. I'm fully aware I'm not the sharpest tool in the shed, but Nitro are you trying to demonstrate that wagering over a period of several days for the Derby actually tells us much?
I would...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
Today, 03:11 AM
Replies:
59
Can you fade Fierceness?
Views:
3,188
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
From the mid 1980s to about the mid 1990s, this...
From the mid 1980s to about the mid 1990s, this would have made Fierceness an automatic toss for me. I was sold on breeding being a primary factor of determining the Derby winner. Surprisingly, the...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
Today, 02:56 AM
Replies:
11
What position will Sierra Leone be in going into the first turn?
Views:
321
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
He'll be near the back, and hoping to channel...
He'll be near the back, and hoping to channel Unbridled's trip in 1990, weaving in and out of traffic like a snake. If he gets a smooth trip (somehow), he'll be easy to spot in deep stretch -...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
Yesterday, 11:47 PM
Replies:
24
List your Derby bets here
Views:
1,419
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Very nice. After picking Mage last year, I see...
Very nice. After picking Mage last year, I see you step right up and swing for the fences again. :18: horse currently 32-1 in early betting. A wee bit surprised you didn't opt for Mage's full...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
Yesterday, 10:15 PM
Replies:
7
Total handle falls 28.1 percent at Aqueduct spring meet
Views:
520
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Well, the first idea that comes to mind is the...
Well, the first idea that comes to mind is the "Big A at Finger Lakes" meet. Urban prices don't help contain costs.
I believe Keeneland's spring meet also was down in handle. Sign of the times,...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
Yesterday, 12:07 AM
Replies:
59
Can you fade Fierceness?
Views:
3,188
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Can I fade Fierceness?
Oh sure. Because, of this logic:
1. Great horses often win the Derby, and Great horses don't run clunkers.
This may not be as true as it used to be, but short of a jockey falling off or the...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
05-01-2024, 11:48 PM
Replies:
17
Derby Wagering Open?
Views:
833
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Live odds at NYRAbets, no login needed. ...
Live odds at NYRAbets, no login needed.
https://www.nyrabets.com/race?raceId=101768690
Click on "Toteboard" near the top to see w-p-s pools.
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-01-2024, 12:40 PM
Replies:
5
Rearranging deck chairs on a sinking ship
Views:
424
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
I'm not exactly clear on the OP's intent on the...
I'm not exactly clear on the OP's intent on the thread title, but I must say after playing CD on Saturday evening and picking several winners, I like the new dirt surface.:ThmbUp:
Now I just hope...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-25-2024, 08:12 PM
Replies:
16
Quick Look at Final 1/8 and 3/8ths for Derby contenders.
Views:
1,962
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Those numbers at Bloodhorse are interesting. ...
Those numbers at Bloodhorse are interesting. Street Sense sticks out like a flaming thumb.
Thanks for the numbers hondo, it sure helps figuring out who's gonna pass the "gut check" (as Lukas...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-25-2024, 08:08 PM
Replies:
59
Can you fade Fierceness?
Views:
3,188
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
I was thinking along the same lines - savers with...
I was thinking along the same lines - savers with him just on top. Which probably means he's a lock to run third and blow up all my tickets.
He's tossed in a couple of clunkers while fading, and...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-25-2024, 07:58 PM
Replies:
18
Is This The Year: Forever Young
Views:
1,282
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Not sure of the quality of the field, but Forever...
Not sure of the quality of the field, but Forever Young and the runner up in the UAE Derby were pulling away from the rest late. In theory this indicates they're superior horses in a superior race....
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-25-2024, 07:43 PM
Replies:
14
Honor Marie Over Under Winning Derby Margin
Views:
1,436
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Legal wager? Where's the fun in that? Actually,...
Legal wager? Where's the fun in that? Actually, I'd guess that if you place a wager on margin of victory, it won't be legal. Sketchy, at best. But I haven't kept up with some of those newer...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
04-25-2024, 07:35 PM
Replies:
28
Santa Anita offers a tri-tri
Views:
2,210
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Well, if Santa Anita is going to have a higher...
Well, if Santa Anita is going to have a higher payout on four and five horse races, a Triple Trio is one way to do it. Maybe even a couple will be signers. Perhaps they're motivated by losing some...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-24-2024, 12:15 AM
Replies:
18
Is This The Year: Forever Young
Views:
1,282
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
He's an interesting horse. On the plus side...
He's an interesting horse.
On the plus side he's got the 5 for 5 record, he's got the breeding - especially on the female side that's like Sierra Leone's, he has the momentum of the Japanese...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-23-2024, 11:47 PM
Replies:
33
Sierra Leone
Views:
2,404
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
What's the old saying? "Time only counts when...
What's the old saying? "Time only counts when you're in jail".
If he was a speed horse and never run a fast race, it would be more of a concern. But a deep closer likes to settle near the...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-12-2024, 09:44 PM
Replies:
57
2024 NHC Championship
Views:
6,659
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
@The General - my two cents is to handicap the...
@The General - my two cents is to handicap the races for a feeder or qualifier prior to entering the event, especially if your recreational budget is limited. This should provide a feel for how good...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-12-2024, 07:47 PM
Replies:
46
Selling Handicapping Software
Views:
3,580
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Yes, the dangers of the "black box" trust...
Yes, the dangers of the "black box" trust inherent with any software tool, unless of course you write it yourself.
Another aspect to think about is that IF a software program "works", it must do...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-08-2024, 04:51 PM
Replies:
41
Kentucky Derby News
Views:
5,411
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
The Derby preps are certainly different than 30...
The Derby preps are certainly different than 30 or 40 years ago. Some would say it's changes in training methods or breeding, but it's my opinion that it has a lot to do with drugs and supplements. ...
Forum:
Advance Deposit Wagering (ADW)
03-31-2024, 12:27 PM
Replies:
19
TWINSPIRES SUCKS
Views:
2,699
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Rants like this reflect what many horseplayers...
Rants like this reflect what many horseplayers experience, though in this case there's a definite self-inflicted wound aspect to it. It's difficult to have sympathy for a player who doesn't have a...
Forum:
Advance Deposit Wagering (ADW)
03-24-2024, 01:28 PM
Replies:
13
Who goes from a pony country.......to a non-pony country?
Views:
2,598
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Me too
Had a similar experience at Xpressbet on one of my moves. Used them for 17 years (2003 - 2020), and then tried to update my new address (in state move) online, and they locked my account. I had...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
03-24-2024, 12:49 PM
Replies:
4
BMW HONG KONG DERBY
Views:
1,045
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
I got my handle from "Parkview Pirate", a noted...
I got my handle from "Parkview Pirate", a noted punter who was the Kiss of Death about 20 years ago or so at Sha Tin. For a while the broadcast crew was getting his/her LOCK of the day, always on a...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
03-10-2024, 11:12 PM
Replies:
41
Tote Outage
Views:
4,238
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
It's tough for sure, especially if you had keyed...
It's tough for sure, especially if you had keyed into some nice winners and got the "ALL" or refund or shut-out instead.
I don't believe root cause of the outage has been specifically identified,...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
03-10-2024, 10:46 PM
Replies:
13
drop in Handle
Views:
2,112
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
+1 If I wanted to get serious about sports...
+1 If I wanted to get serious about sports betting, then I'd just steer my efforts to the financial markets. The ponies are much more interesting, even with the problems in the sport.
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
03-10-2024, 10:42 PM
Replies:
13
drop in Handle
Views:
2,112
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
I agree though of course on THE WEB the gloves...
I agree though of course on THE WEB the gloves come off early and often.
More mysteries tonight. Not sure why mr chicken took a while to make his first post, but I do realize some people like to...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
03-10-2024, 10:26 PM
Replies:
25
How would you rate and or compare each track?
Views:
3,184
Posted By
Parkview_Pirate
Wow. If I'm reading Dave's post correctly,...
Wow. If I'm reading Dave's post correctly, Chippewa Downs comes in at the top of the heap in terms of reliability?
Maybe so, but my first thought is that a track that runs four weekends a year...
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