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Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: Dave Schwartz
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-12-2018, 07:21 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I don't have a problem with wager cancels. ...

I don't have a problem with wager cancels.

However, IMHO...

1. Wagers over a significant amount (to be determined) should demand a 5-minute process for canceling. "If you want to make large...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-11-2018, 07:01 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Pete, I had a client in Japan for a short...

Pete,

I had a client in Japan for a short while - just long enough for me to attend the World Cup in Yokohama. LOL

At that time you had to bet in person, so he and I would go to the "racebook"...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-09-2018, 10:33 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
This is a really intelligent post....

This is a really intelligent post. :ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

And to be clear, when their odds projection models for a given race are off on a particular card, they lose.

What does it take for "odds...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-09-2018, 12:02 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
That would NOT level the playing field. It...

That would NOT level the playing field.

It would give the whales an even bigger advantage because they'd be the only ones with really good modeling software to predict prices.

My approach,...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-08-2018, 05:08 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Because it hurts their prices and, hence, their...

Because it hurts their prices and, hence, their bottom line.

I mean no disrespect here, but this is like Horse Racing Math 101.


There is no way that the big boys would ever stand for the...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-08-2018, 03:25 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I'm sorry but this is an idea that I just cannot...

I'm sorry but this is an idea that I just cannot get behind for several reasons.

1. Just not practical. No business or industry is ever going to give the little guy an edge over the big guy. If...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-08-2018, 10:21 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
IMHO, it does not solve the problem of odds...

IMHO, it does not solve the problem of odds changes at all. It just allows the more sophisticated player to bet even later.

Do you really think the whales wouldn't hop on this bandwagon?
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-08-2018, 12:26 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I understood. But the very issue that ANYONE...

I understood. But the very issue that ANYONE could get a bet in AFTER the gate opens means that SOMEONE is getting favored treatment.

We'd ALL like to make "conditional wagers." That would solve...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-07-2018, 06:15 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
So, that means the betting is shut off for...

So, that means the betting is shut off for everyone but... who? The people who get to bet after the gate opens?
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-24-2018, 05:16 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
That was the point I was trying to make. There...

That was the point I was trying to make. There isn't anything extra to get.

The only difference is...

Let's assume that currently you are getting your data from an ADW tote board site.

Let's...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-24-2018, 03:13 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
PA, If this was caused by past-posting... ...

PA,

If this was caused by past-posting...

What people forget is that if you see the odds change just as a horse takes the lead, that would mean the tote system was so quick to react that...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-24-2018, 12:56 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Ah. Again, I guess I confused people with...

Ah.

Again, I guess I confused people with what I said.

I did not mean "ticket" but rather "combination."


Dave
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-24-2018, 12:12 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I'm sorry, Dave, but I don't know what I am...

I'm sorry, Dave, but I don't know what I am looking at.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-23-2018, 12:28 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
The biggest problem with exchange wagering is...

The biggest problem with exchange wagering is that exotics are too complicated for most players to wager, and Americans love their exotics.

IMHO, that will completely stop ExW from getting a firm...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-23-2018, 12:26 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Absolutely not. Sorry if I misled you. I...

Absolutely not. Sorry if I misled you.

I meant horse totals as opposed to individual bets.

I am not aware of anything other than totals being available.

When I think of "tick" data, I think...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-22-2018, 08:08 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
If what I said sounded the least bit like that I...

If what I said sounded the least bit like that I need to say it differently.

What I said is that you may be able to get the same level of access as SuperTote or some ADWs get. In other words, a...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-18-2018, 05:31 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Typical horse player mentality would be to think...

Typical horse player mentality would be to think that the later I bet, the more it improves my chances.

:lol:

It only improves your chances if you have a way to improve your selections late.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-17-2018, 08:15 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Please listen to this voice of reason. It is...

Please listen to this voice of reason.

It is absolutely dead on the money.

And why do the odds move more today than they did 20+ years ago? Because a gigantic percentage of the late bet money...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-16-2018, 06:14 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
The pools are massive at SA compared to (say) MNR.

The pools are massive at SA compared to (say) MNR.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-16-2018, 10:30 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
My experience is just the opposite. The percent...

My experience is just the opposite. The percent of pool bet by whale money is much higher at tracks with high rebates, raising the competitive level at the track.

Thus, a track that with low...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-15-2018, 03:25 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
No offense taken. Thanks for being ultra-polite....

No offense taken. Thanks for being ultra-polite. (Most people just call me a liar and move on. LOL)

Non-disclosure agreements work that way- restrict what one can say. Nothing nefarious about it....
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-15-2018, 12:10 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
#1 & #2 are exactly true. There is nothing that...

#1 & #2 are exactly true. There is nothing that we could not get from the old SuperTote (which appears to be gone now) that is available to anyone else.
I'll come back to that.

As Lambo said,...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-14-2018, 02:47 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I would probably not be quite so harsh. Instead,...

I would probably not be quite so harsh. Instead, I would say that if the odds changes REALLY ARE why you are losing, then you are truly only a stone's throw from being a winning player.

It means...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-13-2018, 10:59 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
What you are speaking of does not (to my...

What you are speaking of does not (to my knowledge) exist.

There certainly are tote systems that are faster than they ADW totes you and I use, but the bottleneck is still the tote system itself.
...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-09-2018, 05:38 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 95,432
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Yes, the tracks have always been customer-first. ...

Yes, the tracks have always been customer-first.

:bang::lol::rolleyes:

:rolleyes::rolleyes:
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