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Search: Posts Made By: Gakiss2
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-08-2019, 05:39 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Derby Winner

Looks like Maximum Security should win.

:pound:

Sorry, couldn't resist
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-12-2019, 04:56 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Lots of detail

I could pretty well follow the information being presented. Tons of detail. Any chance you would be willing to share these trainer profiles? Or maybe you could put them in a book and sell them? ...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-12-2019, 12:47 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Training Styles

In the process of my attempt to build an algorithm for fitness I created a chart which graphically lays out the dates and distances of the works and races. After while you do see very different...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-11-2019, 01:34 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Matrix with Fitness scores

And now the attachment:bang:
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-11-2019, 01:32 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
KEE Friday 4th Race

Some top picks including their fitness scores. First 3 are my picks for the race, what I would put in a Pick 3/ Pick 4. The Next two are contenders I'd bet with good odds. Last two aren't awful...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-10-2019, 02:37 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Judging workouts

Thanks for the feedback. First off I got a lot out of the link you shared regarding previous discussions on the forum. Only there was a link to another article in that which must be now dead. ...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-10-2019, 01:38 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
keeneland

I like the concept of checking off the characteristics. Just reading through some articles on physicality it seemed like some we're 'red flags' while others we're more indicative of alertness /...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-06-2019, 04:38 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Fitness scores

Forgot to attach the score matrix
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-06-2019, 04:36 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Talking Hit a BOMB at Keeneland - High Fitness Score

There were others with good fitness scores but they had lower odds so I bet :8: Lantiz and hauled in a Score $47.20 for a $1... Now why didn't I bet $2 on that one.:headbanger:
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-06-2019, 07:46 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Fitness Scores Keeneland Race 1

Fitness score calculated based on:
DSLR - Bonus if 9 ~ 21
Recent Workout - Bonus if < 15 days
Workout Pattern - Best 7days, then 14 then 21
Furlongs per day - best is 0.4 ~ 0.8
User bonus -...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-06-2019, 06:37 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Furlongs per day

Summary of discussion points so far in looking for a way to score furlongs per day and other fitness aspects as related to Handicapping.

Some thoughts gleaned from this forum and other sources:
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-04-2019, 11:44 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Layoff Trainers

Thank you for your insight. The deeper I get into this it sometimes seems more like a trainer contest than a horse race. Some advice I haven't really followed yet but made sense to me is to stick...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-04-2019, 11:35 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Physicality

I could certainly use some education training in that area. About the only track I actually go to is Keeneland - Which is opening today! - and I have tried gaging a horse by its appearance since you...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-04-2019, 11:19 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Thank you for the feedback

Very insightful information, Thank You
I had no idea about the difference to ship one direction or the other. And I think you are talking about shipping inside the US. Any thoughts on shipping...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-02-2019, 10:50 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Stakes Races

I do hate to make assumptions but on a practical level that one makes a LOT of sense. It would be difficult to imagine someone dull enough to spend the money shipping an unfit horse to the US to run...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-01-2019, 11:11 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
New thought - question

When judging if a layoff horse can score first out we look at past performance where the horse has been in a similar situation. If a horse came out swinging from a 50 day layoff a year ago but now...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-31-2019, 11:14 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Thank you for the feedback

##
Hoping I can make some progress on this subject. I'll share what I find.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-31-2019, 10:58 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Thank You for the feedback - Some responses

##

I made a couple comments above where you see ##. As I mentioned above I do NOT have a horse training background. I live less than 5 miles from the Keeneland track but so far have only...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-30-2019, 06:26 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Good Call on GS #11

I had to go back to check on the horse you mentioned and sure enough it won. Luckily he is the first leg of a Pick 3. 5 / 3 / 1, 4, 7, 8, 9
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-30-2019, 06:23 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Thanks for the feedback

Thanks for the input. I had always been leary of making much of workout time since I suspect they can run the horse pretty much at whatever speed they like and sometimes it is better for them to hide...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-30-2019, 01:10 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 9,181
Posted By Gakiss2
Question Judging Horse Fitness by race and workout data

I am trying to find a way to score a horse's fitness level based on the pattern of Races and workouts it has had in the past 90 days. I am interested in hearing your thoughts on the matter. I have...
Showing results 1 to 21 of 21

 
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