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Search: Posts Made By: classhandicapper
Forum: General Racing Discussion Today, 11:45 AM
Replies: 265
Views: 17,984
Posted By classhandicapper
The interesting thing about drug positives is...

The interesting thing about drug positives is that they are like roaches. If you see a couple, there are likely MANY more that you didn't see.
Forum: General Racing Discussion Today, 11:42 AM
Replies: 265
Views: 17,984
Posted By classhandicapper
I saw Mickey Mantle get a line drive double down...

I saw Mickey Mantle get a line drive double down the line when I was a boy. It may have been the hardest hit ball I've ever seen. I'm pretty sure he wasn't drugged, but it may be even money he was...
Forum: General Racing Discussion Today, 10:50 AM
Replies: 0
Views: 20
Posted By classhandicapper
BC Juvenile Fillies

This may be one of the most interesting races of the 2020 BC.

Princess Noor has been extremely dominant and impressive winning with plenty of energy in reserve in her 3 starts, but the races have...
Forum: General Racing Discussion Today, 09:53 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 153
Posted By classhandicapper
Any way you can do that quickly for horses that...

Any way you can do that quickly for horses that got the lead at the 1st call?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Today, 09:51 AM
Replies: 131
Views: 9,431
Posted By classhandicapper
Jeff, Thanks for that detailed explanation....

Jeff,

Thanks for that detailed explanation.

I understand how they are using tote information to gain an advantage finding overlays within all the pools/combinations late in the betting.

I...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Yesterday, 11:03 AM
Replies: 131
Views: 9,431
Posted By classhandicapper
:lol: I tried a different approach after I...

:lol:

I tried a different approach after I noticed the following.

If I didn't understand why the public was making a horse the favorite it won more often than the horse I thought should be the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Yesterday, 10:57 AM
Replies: 131
Views: 9,431
Posted By classhandicapper
This is more along the lines of what I am...

This is more along the lines of what I am thinking.

He must have been using a different adjustment for different odds ranges. Just incorporating the public odds the same way all the time will...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-28-2020, 06:27 PM
Replies: 131
Views: 9,431
Posted By classhandicapper
I agree with everything you are saying in terms...

I agree with everything you are saying in terms of making a more accurate odds line, but I'm not sure how the live odds are helping him find overlays.

Let's say my own odds line gives a horse 50%...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-28-2020, 01:23 PM
Replies: 122
Views: 2,232
Posted By classhandicapper
I remember the days when republicans and...

I remember the days when republicans and democrats were both rational people with different priorities and different ideas for how to achieve a shared desire to make the country safe, grow the...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-28-2020, 12:19 PM
Replies: 122
Views: 2,232
Posted By classhandicapper
I get why a lot of people don't like Trump on a...

I get why a lot of people don't like Trump on a personal level, but decades ago in the prime of his life Biden ran for president against Dukakis, Gebhardt, and Gary Hart (among others, and not...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-28-2020, 11:30 AM
Replies: 28
Views: 2,002
Posted By classhandicapper
I think there's at least some chance these lower...

I think there's at least some chance these lower denomination bets on trifectas are good for serious players. They give the average player a chance to spread further than is warranted. If anything...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-28-2020, 11:09 AM
Replies: 122
Views: 2,232
Posted By classhandicapper
A LOT of people voted before the 2nd debate when...

A LOT of people voted before the 2nd debate when Trump had a better showing and Biden was talking about eliminating fracking and fossil fuels. That could impact some energy heavy swing states. It was...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-27-2020, 03:06 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 1,650
Posted By classhandicapper
This is getting ugly fast.

This is getting ugly fast.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-27-2020, 12:30 PM
Replies: 156
Views: 10,658
Posted By classhandicapper
Come on man. You are one of the sharpest and most...

Come on man. You are one of the sharpest and most detailed guys on the entire forum. Half the field will have to collapse and Tacitus would have to run a lifetime top for him to win.

I happen to...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-27-2020, 11:39 AM
Replies: 29
Views: 1,650
Posted By classhandicapper
Baffert is the main man in CA in virtually every...

Baffert is the main man in CA in virtually every dirt division when it comes to their stakes program. Be it inquiries/disqualifications, drug overages, what some people suspect is collusive riding...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-27-2020, 12:23 AM
Replies: 24
Views: 2,190
Posted By classhandicapper
A few years back I was wasting time making some...

A few years back I was wasting time making some small bets at Fonner Park. It was the first time I ever played there. I saw a horse with the top Timeform figure off its last few races, back figures...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-27-2020, 12:07 AM
Replies: 131
Views: 9,431
Posted By classhandicapper
Does anyone know if Benter used the morning line...

Does anyone know if Benter used the morning line to try to separate public money from inside money?

The more I think about this the less it makes sense unless he had different margins of safety...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-26-2020, 01:27 PM
Replies: 1,299
Views: 42,368
Posted By classhandicapper
I'm pretty sure it's some combination of pandemic...

I'm pretty sure it's some combination of pandemic fatigue, TDS, and other mental health issues, but he can't have a conversation on even the most basic facts and math without bombarding the forum...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-26-2020, 01:17 PM
Replies: 1,299
Views: 42,368
Posted By classhandicapper
Here's the US hospitalization data for those of...

Here's the US hospitalization data for those of you without mental health issues or political agendas.

https://covidtracking.com/data/national

There was a first peak in April centered in the...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-26-2020, 01:02 PM
Replies: 1,299
Views: 42,368
Posted By classhandicapper
I'm starting to feel sorry for HCAP. ...

I'm starting to feel sorry for HCAP.

There's an obvious need for mental health intervention and probably medication.

You can't even have a conversation anymore.
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-26-2020, 09:57 AM
Replies: 1,299
Views: 42,368
Posted By classhandicapper
It lags by a week or two, but it's massively more...

It lags by a week or two, but it's massively more accurate than cases.

The real problem is that if a person goes into the hospital with a broken leg, appendicitis, kidney stones or anything else...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-25-2020, 12:54 PM
Replies: 1,299
Views: 42,368
Posted By classhandicapper
We were DRAMATICALLLY UNDERCOUNTING the case...

We were DRAMATICALLLY UNDERCOUNTING the case count in the beginning because of lack of testing capacity. So we overestimated the death rate. Plus, Cuomo and the boys already killed 10s of thousands...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-25-2020, 12:49 PM
Replies: 1,299
Views: 42,368
Posted By classhandicapper
The testing/case relationship is partly a chicken...

The testing/case relationship is partly a chicken and egg issue.

Only a complete fool (and we know who I am talking about) would deny that we had massively more cases than we recorded back in...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-25-2020, 10:55 AM
Replies: 265
Views: 17,984
Posted By classhandicapper
I'm not a vet and know less than nothing about...

I'm not a vet and know less than nothing about these drugs and treatments, but it seems to me like there are two distinct problems.

1. Guys that are using illegal drugs or methods to enhance...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-25-2020, 10:07 AM
Replies: 131
Views: 9,431
Posted By classhandicapper
It would be interesting to see which factors...

It would be interesting to see which factors Benter analyzed independently and how he incorporated the public odds.

I recently had a brief conversation with someone on Twitter that developed a...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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