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Search: Posts Made By: Dave Schwartz
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-25-2024, 05:41 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 446
Posted By Dave Schwartz
LOL Start with the last 4 years of data for...

LOL
Start with the last 4 years of data for every track in the country.


But seriously, folks.

If there was enough interest I could do a workshop where I show all my tools and how to use...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-25-2024, 03:35 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 446
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Not possible. The software has a history. ...

Not possible.
The software has a history.

Our data goes back 20+ years!

There simply is no field to put it in without maybe $50k in programming.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-25-2024, 02:43 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 446
Posted By Dave Schwartz
If you ordered the 2024 Pars, the Electronic...

If you ordered the 2024 Pars, the Electronic version has been emailed to you.

Most came from Kelsey, my Customer Service VA.

If you don't see it, check SPAM.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-25-2024, 02:41 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 446
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Sorry, just cannot redesign what we have at this...

Sorry, just cannot redesign what we have at this stage of the game.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-25-2024, 01:33 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 446
Posted By Dave Schwartz
My software is a big help. Began upgrading...

My software is a big help.

Began upgrading it big from 2012-2017 but it is very mature now.

It allows me to do a lot of cool stuff.

Still, every distance on every surface must be done...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-25-2024, 11:49 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 446
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Special Note: If you pre-ordered pars they will...

Special Note: If you pre-ordered pars they will be emailed today.

The physical book orders are at the printer and should ship on Thursday.


And, Yes. I can see there is a glitch on our store...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-25-2024, 11:47 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 446
Posted By Dave Schwartz
2024 HorseStreet Par Times are Available Now!

Today is the official release of the 2024 HorseStreet Pars.

Order Electronic Pars: Here (https://store.pacemakestherace.com/2024-horsestreet-par-times-electronic/)

Order Printed Pars: Here...
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 03-24-2024, 11:38 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 882
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Not singled out because there are others. ...

Not singled out because there are others.

McGwire for one.

[edit]
Sosa as well.
Are there others?
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 03-24-2024, 07:30 PM
Replies: 26
Views: 882
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Barry Bonds comes to mind. Didn't gamble,...

Barry Bonds comes to mind.

Didn't gamble, but (probably) did "cheat"
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-21-2024, 12:05 PM
Replies: 91
Views: 5,588
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Respectfully, would those funds not be available...

Respectfully, would those funds not be available for other things if not for sports funding or was the original intention to provide for sports?
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 03-21-2024, 08:00 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 882
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Must agree with this. However, doubt it will...

Must agree with this.

However, doubt it will happen.
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-16-2024, 08:01 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,611
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Difference in what?

Difference in what?
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-16-2024, 04:01 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 3,007
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Turf, not turn. Short version: The...

Turf, not turn.

Short version:

The early pace sets the speed of the race.
A slow 1st fraction makes the final time slower.
Racing outside the US does not experience this because the...
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-16-2024, 01:33 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 3,007
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Love this. That was first written...

Love this.



That was first written about in Scientific Handicapping (1963, Ira Cohen & George Stevens). They called it SIMULATED PACE.


Link to Book on Amazon...
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-16-2024, 11:53 AM
Replies: 51
Views: 3,007
Posted By Dave Schwartz
imagine that ** I ** tested it against my own par...

imagine that ** I ** tested it against my own par numbers before settling on using Cramer/HDW's approach.

I use his approach but creating them from my Final Time pars is an improvement.

IOW,...
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-16-2024, 09:57 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,611
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I DID have a wrong filter in one of the runs: ...

I DID have a wrong filter in one of the runs:
Don't recall which one.

The full year.

But still no TINY TRACKS like Salem or Brown Cnty Fair.



2023.
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-16-2024, 09:31 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,611
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Nothing I post is ever WAY OFF. LOL This...

Nothing I post is ever WAY OFF.
LOL

This was a subset.

Total sample was 27,446.

Look

Race filters
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-16-2024, 01:16 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,611
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Brian, not trying to be in the middle of that....

Brian, not trying to be in the middle of that. Just adding my 2 cents worth.

FWIW, I'd say the same of you when it comes to integrity.
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-16-2024, 12:48 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,611
Posted By Dave Schwartz
headhawg, FWIW, I believe TopCat was an HSH...

headhawg,

FWIW, I believe TopCat was an HSH user years ago.

If I recall correctly, he is a very sharp fellow as well as a man of integrity.




.
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-15-2024, 08:55 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,611
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I wish I could take credit but I simply can't. ...

I wish I could take credit but I simply can't.

Even the formulas for my conversions came from Jim Cramer.

The guy really is brilliant.
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-15-2024, 04:55 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,611
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Here is the rest of the year (with winter...

Here is the rest of the year (with winter removed).

These are the hit rates I am used to seeing.

Of course, there is no profit to be found.

In our HSH system, the primary use for the major...
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-15-2024, 04:48 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,611
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Something else you might find interesting. ...

Something else you might find interesting.

WINTER RACING is... DIFFERENT.
And it's not about weather because it is in warmer climes as well as colder.

I have some theories but they're all...
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-15-2024, 04:30 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,611
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I don't understand how my PSRs could be producing...

I don't understand how my PSRs could be producing such drastically different hit rates.

Also, 2023 was LOWER by almost 2% from the previous years.

What I do is only slightly different and just...
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-15-2024, 08:56 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,611
Posted By Dave Schwartz
You show me yours, I'll show you mine. ...

You show me yours, I'll show you mine.

____________________________
In this sample below, I queried my database for the following:

Race filters
1-1-23 to 12-31-23
Dirt, fast tracks, 5f to 9f...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-10-2024, 11:56 PM
Replies: 25
Views: 2,710
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Just love this post. Spoken like a true...

Just love this post.

Spoken like a true winner.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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