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Search: Posts Made By: paulbenny
Forum: Off Topic - General 11-19-2020, 08:26 PM
Replies: 895
Views: 19,768
Posted By paulbenny
GENERAL COMMENT

Regardless if this goes anywhere for Trump, there is a lot of reason to support a thorough review by the FBI CIA DOJ or the appropriate group to pursue the information regarding the technology. If...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-15-2020, 08:53 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
COULD YOU FURTHER EXPLAIN

I completely understand what CJ was saying. I am not clear on your comment Gallup vs Breeze.


Joseph and these others have horses that tend to decelerate on the dirt as quickly as others. 22 23...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-07-2020, 11:14 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
VET VS TRAINERS

Well, maybe. However, even if it is the vet, the trainer must know the vet is doing something technically wrong so being complicit is wrong. I do not remember the details on Navarro, but he might be...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-06-2020, 01:35 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
UPDATED POSITION ON THE SUSPECT TRAINERS

Every once in a while I get some energy to challenge and pursue the subject of trainers who are suspicious to me. Since 5/7 - nothing has been posted.



We now have Diodoro fined etc. My...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-14-2020, 01:44 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,343
Posted By paulbenny
TAKEOUT CHART

Do you have this in excel? I am building a rebate chart, to net out what the rebates are from an ADW against the actual takeouts. Thanks for this either way. Paul.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-06-2020, 08:06 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
FOLLOW UP ON THE ORIGINAL POSTS

Now that racing has a lot of movement due to this virus to places unforeseen in the past, and I have taken a breather, I wanted to know if anyone has changed their view of SJ, or the others short of...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-18-2020, 10:11 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
INTERIM REPORT

I started this before the indictments. I am really happy there is some energy here. I am pretty good at statistics, like I might have stated earlier, but regardless of that, it is great to see some...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-15-2020, 03:31 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
OVERALL ONCE AGAIN

Norman McKnight. I was the one who originally brought up that Joseph was probably not clean. I then received some feedback. I am letting the data speak for itself. Clearly, I do not believe he is...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-14-2020, 11:30 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
EXPECTED RESULT

I am not at all surprised. Lets see how long this goes. That is a very unusual losing streak. It could be an aberration but I doubt it. Lets see how Karl, Norman and Robertino do. Again, it is easy...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-09-2020, 10:39 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
POST INDICTMENT COMMENT

I am going to try to summarize statistics, and again, it is important to be unbiased and reasonable. I think I am. I did ace stats in college but am not a statistics man. Substantially higher win...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-26-2020, 10:53 AM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
NEW SUMMARY THOUGHTS ON SAFFIE AND OTHERS

If you had field size for all races for a particular trainer, and knew his win rate, then you over a large sample, would have an average win rate. For example, 10 horse average size, 10 percent...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-22-2020, 10:39 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
THANK YOU

That would be great. I appreciate it. I do recognize it does get into a lot of data and it is less efficient to obtain, and maybe some judgements have to be made.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-22-2020, 12:45 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
NOT SLOWING DOWN AS MUCH

Lets face it, the opinion of CJ holds salt to me over most all others. I know the stuff going back decades to Sartin and so forth. The horses do not go faster on dirt per se, unless they go slow...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-18-2020, 10:46 PM
Replies: 126
Views: 13,459
Posted By paulbenny
DUTCHING / ODDS AND OVERLAYS

I support dutching as I migrate towards more time dedicated to wagering, which I have been. I think that in the pre ADW days it was easier to make a line and then take a position at the track live...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-18-2020, 09:37 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
CONCLUSION SO FAR

He is a good guy, who is training at a track where there are things going on with suspect configurations. Additionally, he has horses who keep coming at you. Owners play into this too. So then I...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 02-16-2020, 11:00 PM
Replies: 238
Views: 28,390
Posted By paulbenny
PERSPECTIVE ON MONEY AND ANNOUNCERS

NYRA is a quasi governmental entity. They would have to publish this, or they would be in deep trouble. If they did, they would be in even deeper trouble, because at 750K is is absurd. Regardless of...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-16-2020, 09:53 PM
Replies: 110
Views: 14,887
Posted By paulbenny
Saffie Joseph - How Good Is He

I have to ask the general question about S Joseph. It seems to me he is quite statistically good, and at the same time it seems similar to these names:


N. McKnight
J. Navarro
R. Diodoro
K....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-09-2019, 12:31 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 2,609
Posted By paulbenny
DUTCH BET

How do we know, given the timing that they actually were the ones and suppose someone came in later at another ITW site? Remember Firenze Fire etc.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-06-2019, 03:24 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 1,048
Posted By paulbenny
INITIATION OF AN INQUIRY

Do the Kentucky rules require the lodging of an objection by anyone other than the stewards to be specific to the horse directly affected by the infraction claimed?




If not, it does not...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-03-2018, 10:10 PM
Replies: 543
Views: 38,100
Posted By paulbenny
HORSE OF THE YEAR

I find the horse of the year argument very confusing to address but I will try.
Justify retired after a very limited campaign. Justify did win the Triple Crown. Accelerate did a very convincing job...
Forum: Off Topic - General 05-21-2018, 11:42 AM
Replies: 40
Views: 2,168
Posted By paulbenny
mower

A lot of these mowers are made by the same company and the parts are interchangeable. I just messed up putting a pull cord replacement on an old mower and realized this. It is an educated guess,...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-19-2018, 10:09 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,104
Posted By paulbenny
REGRESSION AND RABBIT ETC

Clearly the Derby is all about points, but in the Belmont, you can do what you want unless someone tells me otherwise. There is no doubt that a clear cut rabbit like the old days and this horse...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-03-2018, 01:19 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 678
Posted By paulbenny
CURSE OF APOLLO ARTICLE IN SI WRONG

Did anyone read that article. It is completely wrong noting that no 2 year old won the Derby since Apollo and it goes on and on with all the failed attempts not realizing it was no horse who did not...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-25-2018, 06:54 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 2,932
Posted By paulbenny
ROBIN BURNS

He was excellent 30 years ago. Given the state of affairs with a few unnamed people, if he is 75 percent of what he used to be, a hat tip to him. He is excellent or certainly was.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-17-2018, 08:46 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 3,258
Posted By paulbenny
BRAD COX

I am amazed at his statistics. Is there any data to suggest he is not clean, and doing things a la Navarro etc.?
Showing results 1 to 25 of 51

 
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