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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-13-2018, 06:47 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 11,396
Posted By AndyC
No argument on the above point. If my...

No argument on the above point. If my handicapping opinion warrants an exacta bet then the betting strategy should not be ignored.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-13-2018, 06:43 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 11,396
Posted By AndyC
If a bettor is profitable or breakeven when...

If a bettor is profitable or breakeven when betting exactas with the short priced favorite out of the top 2 spots they will increase their profitability by adding a trifecta bet with the SPF in the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-13-2018, 06:32 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 11,396
Posted By AndyC
The play is an automatic play. If my...

The play is an automatic play. If my handicapping lead me to betting exactas without the short-priced favorite I would allocate some of my bets to the trifecta.

Why wouldn't isolate races where...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-13-2018, 05:39 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 11,396
Posted By AndyC
I am not presenting what my experience or gut...

I am not presenting what my experience or gut tells me. I looked at over 15 years of results where odd-on horses ran out of the top 2 spots. I found that the trifecta payoff relative to the exacta...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-13-2018, 01:02 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 11,396
Posted By AndyC
I have recommended doing the above for years. It...

I have recommended doing the above for years. It is amazing the amount of additional leverage achieved by just playing the short priced horse in the 3rd slot of a trifecta. If a race is compelling...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-28-2018, 03:16 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 11,396
Posted By AndyC
I never find it irritating when someone engages...

I never find it irritating when someone engages in a discussion. I expect differences in process, strategy, and philosophy. If there was universal agreement on everything there would be no reason to...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-28-2018, 11:22 AM
Replies: 44
Views: 11,396
Posted By AndyC
What you call handicapping principles I call...

What you call handicapping principles I call mathematics. Payoffs are merely a factor in the equation.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-27-2018, 04:32 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 11,396
Posted By AndyC
So betting positive EV horses on top in exactas...

So betting positive EV horses on top in exactas is vague? Boxing multiple positive EV horses is vague? Not reversing a top horse because of unknown EV in the second spot of an exacta is vague? The...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-27-2018, 03:02 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 11,396
Posted By AndyC
I am confused. How is a proper strategy not the...

I am confused. How is a proper strategy not the essence of making money?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-27-2018, 11:01 AM
Replies: 44
Views: 11,396
Posted By AndyC
In my view there are 2 times to make an exacta...

In my view there are 2 times to make an exacta bet. One is to leverage an overlay I see in the win pool and two is to bet when I believe a low priced horse will be out of the top 2. In the first...
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