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Cratos
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
08-04-2008, 09:32 PM
Replies:
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Theoretical Win Wagering Strategy Question
Views:
5,108
Posted By
Cratos
That is correct, but he is selecting contenders...
That is correct, but he is selecting contenders at 3/X which says the larger the field, the harder it is to select contenders which is typically true in horseracing. Also a small field is virtually...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
08-04-2008, 08:42 PM
Replies:
23
Theoretical Win Wagering Strategy Question
Views:
5,108
Posted By
Cratos
As I understand the problem, it is not a 80% hit...
As I understand the problem, it is not a 80% hit rate of a given race, it is a 80% hit rate of a subset of a given race and the probability of that subset having a contender is 3/X where “X” is the...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
08-04-2008, 04:57 PM
Replies:
23
Theoretical Win Wagering Strategy Question
Views:
5,108
Posted By
Cratos
I believe the way to view your problem would be...
I believe the way to view your problem would be to understand that your probability of randomly picking a contender from a large group will be 3/X. Therefore a group the size of the KY Derby field...
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