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Search: Posts Made By: o_crunk
Forum: General Racing Discussion 12-12-2023, 03:38 PM
Replies: 121
Views: 12,520
Posted By o_crunk
The primary customer of horse racing these days...

The primary customer of horse racing these days is state governments. Racing has to prove they are a viable and popular business worth supporting with tax dollars. This is why places like Saratoga...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 12-08-2023, 11:27 AM
Replies: 121
Views: 12,520
Posted By o_crunk
You're all getting into the crux of the matter...

You're all getting into the crux of the matter and *why* the tracks want to have ownership in the biggest rebate shops. To think the likes of Elite aren't getting at least 10% in Pn's in particular...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-05-2023, 04:52 PM
Replies: 317
Views: 36,671
Posted By o_crunk
Was it the stewards who erroneously reported the...

Was it the stewards who erroneously reported the scratch?
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-10-2023, 09:18 AM
Replies: 317
Views: 36,671
Posted By o_crunk
NYRA is *ultra* sensitive to people saying they...

NYRA is *ultra* sensitive to people saying they get "subsidies". Any which way you slice it, it's mostly a technicality that they don't get subsidies. Everybody involved knows that without government...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-27-2023, 09:14 PM
Replies: 188
Views: 15,564
Posted By o_crunk
Sure. Since NY state makes breakdowns public data...

Sure. Since NY state makes breakdowns public data I'll tell you that the $25K claiming starts at NYRA tracks are twice as likely to have a fatality while racing as those above $25K tags and no tags...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-27-2023, 08:17 PM
Replies: 188
Views: 15,564
Posted By o_crunk
The "Racing Industry" has dramatically improved...

The "Racing Industry" has dramatically improved by accident more than some grand plan they implemented. When we look at the decline in deaths per 1K, I reckon that the decline is wholly attributable...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-24-2023, 05:44 PM
Replies: 300
Views: 28,941
Posted By o_crunk
This exacta payoff isn't even in the top 10 of...

This exacta payoff isn't even in the top 10 of the lightest at NYRA in the last 5 years. Just food for thought. If you think there is nefarious stuff going on, don't play. Unfortunately a lot of...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-24-2023, 04:08 PM
Replies: 300
Views: 28,941
Posted By o_crunk
What people typically fail to realize with CRW is...

What people typically fail to realize with CRW is this - they are trying to get back $1.00 for every $1.00 wagered. That's it as the rebate on the volume takes care of the rest. In aggregate they...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-24-2023, 11:20 AM
Replies: 300
Views: 28,941
Posted By o_crunk
Race 9 yesterday on the same card. 17-1 Cherokee...

Race 9 yesterday on the same card. 17-1 Cherokee Cottage over 6-1 Iguaszu had the exacta pay $194.50 for $1. There were dozens of twitter threads yesterday on the race 3 exacta payoff but I didn't...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-23-2023, 08:27 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 1,172
Posted By o_crunk
Some of the claims made by NYRA about what the...

Some of the claims made by NYRA about what the loan will do are laughable.

Here's an article from a while back where the consultant NYRA hired to make the economic case for the renovations is...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-14-2023, 12:55 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 3,569
Posted By o_crunk
This handle data is little misleading. Couple...

This handle data is little misleading. Couple things.

-Total handle will include inter-race exotics only on the payout race. So for example, a P5 sequence that might have 2 synth races, 2 turf...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-04-2023, 10:44 AM
Replies: 106
Views: 10,978
Posted By o_crunk
I have been developing off the RDS system for...

I have been developing off the RDS system for over 10 years now. It's a totally fine system and I'd guess the initial developers of it some 25+ years ago had both the domain knowledge and deep...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-04-2023, 09:12 AM
Replies: 106
Views: 10,978
Posted By o_crunk
FYI Equibase has updated their RDS system to...

FYI

Equibase has updated their RDS system to close the CD meet on 6/4 and they've put a place holder for the track_id ELP for a meet that begins 6/10 and ends 7/2. I guess we will see Monday...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-03-2023, 03:28 PM
Replies: 106
Views: 10,978
Posted By o_crunk
You would never alter the source of the data for...

You would never alter the source of the data for storing it as-is. For whatever the need is, and the need may change, you store it as it was transmitted from the "source of truth", in this case...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-03-2023, 03:01 PM
Replies: 106
Views: 10,978
Posted By o_crunk
There are a thousand things within the Equibase...

There are a thousand things within the Equibase RDS system that I would do differently. For me those changes are irrelevant. The vendor is going to do what they are going to do with or without my...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-03-2023, 02:08 PM
Replies: 106
Views: 10,978
Posted By o_crunk
The problem isn’t the case statement. The problem...

The problem isn’t the case statement. The problem is paying thousands of dollars a month for quality data so I don’t have to slip it in for a bunch of clients who want to fix something that never...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-03-2023, 11:50 AM
Replies: 106
Views: 10,978
Posted By o_crunk
This is 100% correct of course. And I'd add that...

This is 100% correct of course. And I'd add that Equibase is charging a ton of money for data. You would think they would have an interest in maintaining integrity.

Let's see what happens with...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-03-2023, 11:04 AM
Replies: 106
Views: 10,978
Posted By o_crunk
Is there a logical explanation in there other...

Is there a logical explanation in there other than "you guys don't know how to run a race track, so that's why we changed the track code. We know our customers better than you do"?

Honestly, I...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-21-2023, 01:32 PM
Replies: 60
Views: 6,463
Posted By o_crunk
One other thing I would like to note. When I...

One other thing I would like to note.

When I say "Elite" I'm referring to the entire umbrella of tote codes that is "Elite", of which there are dozens. To me, it's all one organization. To others,...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-21-2023, 01:25 PM
Replies: 60
Views: 6,463
Posted By o_crunk
To clear the air a bit.... I've done a...

To clear the air a bit....

I've done a couple of commissioned studies on the big teams - Elite, RGS, a couple others that have reached their level of play but have since folded.

This is tote...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-15-2023, 10:05 AM
Replies: 124
Views: 15,610
Posted By o_crunk
I've done work for multiple tracks concerned with...

I've done work for multiple tracks concerned with this money flow. This is accurate. But here's the thing - it's always been this way. It was this way 15 years ago when RGS was more active and larger...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-08-2023, 04:36 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 6,368
Posted By o_crunk
I was wrong. Here's the correct data. Overall...

I was wrong. Here's the correct data. Overall handle -8.2% (-$18.2M) on 11 more races. -8.3 per interest (-$9.3K) and -11.7% per race (-$93.4K).

It's not so hard to admit when I'm wrong and...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-08-2023, 03:18 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 6,368
Posted By o_crunk
Through this morning, AQU handle at the current...

Through this morning, AQU handle at the current meet, which began on 1/1/23, is down 32% (-$96M) on 74 fewer races and 710 fewer interests vs the same period last year. Per interest is down 7.8%...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-07-2023, 09:20 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 2,131
Posted By o_crunk
Of course it’s fantasy on its current face. But...

Of course it’s fantasy on its current face. But 70% of handle in the US is controlled by 3 entities. Is it that outlandish? I don’t think so. And those big 3, their market share is getting bigger...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-07-2023, 07:50 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 2,131
Posted By o_crunk
So the questions are.... Is it better to cut...

So the questions are....

Is it better to cut CRW off at 2 minutes and have these situations where there is *more* inefficiency between the WIN (displayed odds) and the place/show/exotics? (I kinda...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 276

 
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