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Search: Posts Made By: Dave S
Forum: Handicapping Software 04-08-2024, 08:22 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 664
Posted By Dave S
Could be wrong but is he not the same guy who...

Could be wrong but is he not the same guy who started to sell his programs on RPM?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-17-2024, 04:39 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 11,785
Posted By Dave S
Agreed. But I would think that higher odds 3rd...

Agreed. But I would think that higher odds 3rd ranked choices should have much better hit rates for place and show than for win only if the method for picking them has any validity.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-17-2024, 09:58 AM
Replies: 18
Views: 11,785
Posted By Dave S
Just in terms of win betting an older book by...

Just in terms of win betting an older book by Henry Kuck called "Winner's File"
made a very succinct recommendation which I liked. I am paraphrasing here but he strongly recommended sticking with...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 01-24-2024, 10:51 AM
Replies: 73
Views: 12,937
Posted By Dave S
Give a politician a new pot of money and he will...

Give a politician a new pot of money and he will find a way to spend it ten times over on stuff that had nothing to do with the original legislation.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 12-03-2023, 10:09 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 1,659
Posted By Dave S
Just as an aside, I do not see why the industry...

Just as an aside, I do not see why the industry can't offer a fixed percentage rebate to all players- weather they be high-rollers or just $2 players. That way everyone would have an incentive to...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 12-03-2023, 09:36 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 1,659
Posted By Dave S
I've heard it defined as: "to bet amongst...

I've heard it defined as: "to bet amongst ourselves."
Forum: Handicapping Software 11-30-2023, 11:03 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 811
Posted By Dave S
I think that person you are referring to is Dave...

I think that person you are referring to is Dave Vaccaro, who wrote the Matrix System book. I believe that this book has been reviewed in the books section on this site. Not sure, but I believe a...
Forum: Handicapping Software 11-29-2023, 09:56 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 4,272
Posted By Dave S
I believe "RR" refers to the Bris Race...

I believe "RR" refers to the Bris Race Rating.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-28-2023, 04:41 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 918
Posted By Dave S
Congrats on your success in that contest PIC6. I...

Congrats on your success in that contest PIC6. I also participated in this contest and finished pretty well. I finished in 8th place- just missing out of cashing in. I have not looked into seeing if...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-06-2023, 12:52 PM
Replies: 300
Views: 29,686
Posted By Dave S
I do not dispute that the CAW teams are a major...

I do not dispute that the CAW teams are a major issue for everyday handicappers and that the problem should not be taken lightly but one small remedy for this might be contest play. I know that...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 09-06-2023, 11:22 AM
Replies: 300
Views: 29,686
Posted By Dave S
33323 Quoth the handicapper "Nevermore"...

33323


Quoth the handicapper "Nevermore" (LOL).
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-27-2023, 09:21 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 6,176
Posted By Dave S
Also, if you are a heavy hitter getting a good...

Also, if you are a heavy hitter getting a good rebate making a $30 profit even when the majority of your wagers lose is probably par for the course.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-27-2023, 07:19 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 6,176
Posted By Dave S
I suppose you could simply make a substantial...

I suppose you could simply make a substantial show bet on a rock solid favorite to achieve that level of profit, but I suspect that is not the answer you were seeking.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-25-2023, 07:57 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 6,176
Posted By Dave S
No problem. From the limited look that I have...

No problem. From the limited look that I have seen it seems to be in the ballpark with its data.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-25-2023, 06:17 PM
Replies: 55
Views: 6,176
Posted By Dave S
Did some looking and found this. Scroll down to...

Did some looking and found this. Scroll down to find the link to the spreadsheet. This uses the will-pay data, but apparently you can use other multi-race data besides just the DD. ...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-25-2023, 09:53 AM
Replies: 55
Views: 6,176
Posted By Dave S
I have begun to be much more risk averse in my...

I have begun to be much more risk averse in my win betting lately. I would much rather be betting 2,3, or sometimes even 4 of my contenders if the odds warrant it and I have a low odds non-contender...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 07-12-2023, 11:50 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 765
Posted By Dave S
Behind a pay-wall.

Behind a pay-wall.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-14-2023, 02:25 PM
Replies: 82
Views: 8,171
Posted By Dave S
Even a broken watch is right twice a day. ...

Even a broken watch is right twice a day. :rolleyes:
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-29-2023, 11:35 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 503
Posted By Dave S
Turf Paradise

For how long has Turf Paradise been hand timing most of its races?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-22-2023, 06:14 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 5,064
Posted By Dave S
That looks pretty good, however I think that I...

That looks pretty good, however I think that I would still bet against such a horse if it were offered at low odds based on its below par final figures.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-22-2023, 04:09 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 5,064
Posted By Dave S
Without knowing the pars, the horses two turf...

Without knowing the pars, the horses two turf race's speed figures appear to be a little low. It's maiden win looks like it did not receive much of a challenge from the other horses- would like to...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-17-2023, 05:52 AM
Replies: 124
Views: 12,371
Posted By Dave S
What do you do with a horse that is a proven...

What do you do with a horse that is a proven quitter, but never the less goes to the front in most of his races? Would you still rate the horse with one of his quitter pace lines anyway just to...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-15-2023, 01:41 PM
Replies: 124
Views: 12,371
Posted By Dave S
You might want to check out paceandcap.com. They...

You might want to check out paceandcap.com. They have a decent discussion board there concerning the Sartin methodology. They also offer the RDSS software through Trackmaster. Trackmaster itself...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-23-2023, 03:57 PM
Replies: 204
Views: 26,280
Posted By Dave S
Thousands of factors? I don't know- maybe. But...

Thousands of factors? I don't know- maybe. But the real question is how many unique factors there are that are not highly correlated with one another- that is the thorniest question.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-23-2023, 08:40 AM
Replies: 204
Views: 26,280
Posted By Dave S
Correct. My mistake.

Correct. My mistake.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 53

 
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