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Search: Posts Made By: traveler
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-30-2020, 12:23 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,854
Posted By traveler
Yes, blending in the tote could erase your edge...

Yes, blending in the tote could erase your edge totally so you should pass. Also, if you are betting using optimal bet strategy, your bet size is a function of your edge. So if line smoothing reduces...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-20-2020, 03:49 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,854
Posted By traveler
Focus on 3 choices? Sure, but it doesn't matter...

Focus on 3 choices? Sure, but it doesn't matter if you focus on the field of 12 or 3 - you start with the field and handicap your way down to say 3. Schwartz always liked idea of half field plus 1...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-19-2020, 07:23 PM
Replies: 135
Views: 14,854
Posted By traveler
When you say "bet down" - bet down from what -...

When you say "bet down" - bet down from what - the morning line?
From gate loading to final odds?

What if you your models odds-line rankings mirror the public? Your fav wins same % as public, 2nd...
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-31-2020, 07:22 PM
Replies: 67
Views: 6,657
Posted By traveler
incoherent, but....BRIS Prime has nothing to do...

incoherent, but....BRIS Prime has nothing to do with HSH and ML is not the "best" factor in HSH. I no longer handicap but am quite familiar with HSH.
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-31-2020, 08:01 AM
Replies: 67
Views: 6,657
Posted By traveler
Actually the goal is to extract profit from a...

Actually the goal is to extract profit from a given race - not bet low or high priced horses.
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-13-2020, 04:47 PM
Replies: 127
Views: 11,146
Posted By traveler
Actually Sal, I can't decide which dog I want to...

Actually Sal, I can't decide which dog I want to throw $2 on in this dust-up. Back to the bunker...
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-13-2020, 03:45 PM
Replies: 127
Views: 11,146
Posted By traveler
Never thought I'd long for "PK Truck"..., just...

Never thought I'd long for "PK Truck"..., just sayin:bang:
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-03-2020, 10:11 PM
Replies: 237
Views: 26,280
Posted By traveler
serious question - do you have any examples where...

serious question - do you have any examples where the ML maker is right and you are wrong? You seem to be seeing your line is ALWAYS as good or better. Am I missing something?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-26-2020, 08:29 AM
Replies: 237
Views: 26,280
Posted By traveler
"because my simulations are always correct" ...

"because my simulations are always correct"

Must be nice
Forum: Handicapping Software 11-04-2019, 07:57 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 47,722
Posted By traveler
Very nicely done. Congrats.

Very nicely done. Congrats.
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-31-2019, 06:04 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 47,722
Posted By traveler
Post #122

Post #122
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-31-2019, 12:30 AM
Replies: 191
Views: 47,722
Posted By traveler
There you go, anybody can claim anything. You...

There you go, anybody can claim anything. You finally hit it but don't see it - grab the digitalis, you'll be ok.
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-30-2019, 02:00 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 47,722
Posted By traveler
Agree, not good to attack when uninformed.

Agree, not good to attack when uninformed.
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-30-2019, 01:58 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 47,722
Posted By traveler
Yep, used it extensively. Powerful program - yep,...

Yep, used it extensively. Powerful program - yep, lots of features - yep, most powerful - who knows.
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-30-2019, 01:55 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 47,722
Posted By traveler
Mission accomplished. Agenda - no- just pointed...

Mission accomplished.
Agenda - no- just pointed out his claim of most powerful software is just that, a claim.
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-28-2019, 09:55 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 47,722
Posted By traveler
Just a fair response to unsubstantiated claims...

Just a fair response to unsubstantiated claims that no other major vendor makes.

Same old hokem, "We pick the best contenders". We being I as there is no we.
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-28-2019, 12:37 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 47,722
Posted By traveler
To wake up crusty old guys like you :)

To wake up crusty old guys like you :)
Forum: Handicapping Software 10-27-2019, 06:31 PM
Replies: 191
Views: 47,722
Posted By traveler
Tough to prove or disprove.

Tough to prove or disprove.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-30-2019, 10:54 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 2,352
Posted By traveler
Isn't this going to need to be looked at by...

Isn't this going to need to be looked at by number of entries in a race?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-05-2019, 11:38 AM
Replies: 62
Views: 4,992
Posted By traveler
Your projections need to out-perform the publics...

Your projections need to out-perform the publics prediction which is indicated by odds/probabilites.

If you're top projected time horse wins often enough when say the public has him as the 3rd...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-24-2019, 09:47 PM
Replies: 75
Views: 11,087
Posted By traveler
Superb Jeff. Knowing the right questions to ask...

Superb Jeff. Knowing the right questions to ask sure helps and having your superb software.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-19-2019, 09:57 PM
Replies: 75
Views: 11,087
Posted By traveler
Thank you Jeff for your insights

Thank you Jeff for your insights
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-21-2017, 09:34 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 2,357
Posted By traveler
I like round-robin parlays.

I like round-robin parlays.
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-23-2017, 09:58 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 8,026
Posted By traveler
If you have 1000 races, study the winners only...

If you have 1000 races, study the winners only and horses who finished say less than 1 length behind - so you got say 1100 horses.

Take the factor that produced the most winners, remove those...
Forum: Handicapping Software 08-21-2017, 08:44 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 8,026
Posted By traveler
Don't discount just using the rank rather than...

Don't discount just using the rank rather than the actual SR or Pace figure etc.
If you want to go with an actual figure, try the difference from top idea - 70 SR gets a 0, 65 SR gets a 5 or -5...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 234

 
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