Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board
>
Search Forums
Search Results
User Name
Remember Me?
Password
Home
Register
FAQ
Donate
Roster
Calendar
Forum
Today's Posts
Search
Search Forums
Show Threads
Show Posts
Tag Search
Advanced Search
Go to Page...
Page 1 of 20
1
2
3
11
>
Last
»
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500
Search took
0.18
seconds.
Search:
Posts Made By:
TrifectaMike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-15-2015, 03:28 PM
Replies:
307
Interview With a Professional Gambler
Views:
42,089
Posted By
TrifectaMike
ML, My first calculus textbook, "Elements of...
ML,
My first calculus textbook, "Elements of The Differential and Integral Calculus", by Granville and Smith, Copyright 1904, given to me by my seventh grade math teacher. That book was my...
Forum:
Handicapper's Corner
12-15-2014, 02:18 PM
Replies:
293
Putting an end to Beyer type speed ratings
Views:
36,854
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Thanks. As of now, based on prior beliefs...
Thanks.
As of now, based on prior beliefs and the evidence, the posterior probability suggests, I will not be posting.
Mike
Forum:
Handicapper's Corner
12-15-2014, 11:44 AM
Replies:
293
Putting an end to Beyer type speed ratings
Views:
36,854
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Thanks and the same to you. By the way, your...
Thanks and the same to you.
By the way, your little gift is NOT so little.
Mike
Forum:
Handicapper's Corner
12-15-2014, 11:36 AM
Replies:
293
Putting an end to Beyer type speed ratings
Views:
36,854
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Let's make this simple. If there aren't at least...
Let's make this simple. If there aren't at least 10 people who find my posts useful, I'll simply stop posting.
Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
12-15-2014, 11:19 AM
Replies:
435
Predicting Speed Rating from Past Ratings
Views:
39,365
Posted By
TrifectaMike
A major reason is that there is an infinite...
A major reason is that there is an infinite number of ways to achieve that 1:10.2
Mike
Forum:
Handicapper's Corner
12-15-2014, 11:15 AM
Replies:
293
Putting an end to Beyer type speed ratings
Views:
36,854
Posted By
TrifectaMike
That is why inference is so critical. Mike
That is why inference is so critical.
Mike
Forum:
Handicapper's Corner
12-15-2014, 10:35 AM
Replies:
293
Putting an end to Beyer type speed ratings
Views:
36,854
Posted By
TrifectaMike
This a TERRIFIC post!!!!! Mike
This a TERRIFIC post!!!!!
Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
12-15-2014, 08:04 AM
Replies:
435
Predicting Speed Rating from Past Ratings
Views:
39,365
Posted By
TrifectaMike
I agree a power law is better as you suggested,...
I agree a power law is better as you suggested, if you want to work with point estimates.
Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
12-15-2014, 07:37 AM
Replies:
435
Predicting Speed Rating from Past Ratings
Views:
39,365
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Here , in the states, as useless as balls on a...
Here , in the states, as useless as balls on a chick. That "info" and a stolen metro card "may" get you on a train.
Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
12-14-2014, 07:04 PM
Replies:
435
Predicting Speed Rating from Past Ratings
Views:
39,365
Posted By
TrifectaMike
DL, even if there is a measurable difference,...
DL, even if there is a measurable difference, what would you do with it?
Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
12-13-2014, 03:46 AM
Replies:
435
Predicting Speed Rating from Past Ratings
Views:
39,365
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Thask, you've made some good points, but not...
Thask, you've made some good points, but not entirely accurate.
The game is a mathematical problem waiting to be solved, "unlike the theory of gravity".
When one, as yourself, speaks of a...
Forum:
Handicapper's Corner
12-11-2014, 12:01 PM
Replies:
293
Putting an end to Beyer type speed ratings
Views:
36,854
Posted By
TrifectaMike
AITrader, a "real" Benter guy, from across the...
AITrader, a "real" Benter guy, from across the pond. An interesting and very sharp fellow. AITrader come back and say hello.
Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
12-01-2014, 09:35 PM
Replies:
262
Limiting our betting choices to the two top Bris Prime Power horses
Views:
28,969
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Raybo, read post #55 Precious Mike
Raybo, read post #55
Precious Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
12-01-2014, 05:50 PM
Replies:
262
Limiting our betting choices to the two top Bris Prime Power horses
Views:
28,969
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Raybo, read post 91. Precious Mike
Raybo, read post 91.
Precious Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
12-01-2014, 08:50 AM
Replies:
262
Limiting our betting choices to the two top Bris Prime Power horses
Views:
28,969
Posted By
TrifectaMike
People are not very good at choosing a purely...
People are not very good at choosing a purely random sequence.
"Shannon-machine example" essentially exploits the fact that people do not behave as "randomly" as they think they do.
I believe...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-30-2014, 11:02 AM
Replies:
262
Limiting our betting choices to the two top Bris Prime Power horses
Views:
28,969
Posted By
TrifectaMike
This might help or not! Let's look at a...
This might help or not!
Let's look at a finite sequence of length, k. For demonstration purposes, let k = 20.
One way to proceed. First a histogram table would be generated showing the...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-28-2014, 07:51 AM
Replies:
262
Limiting our betting choices to the two top Bris Prime Power horses
Views:
28,969
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Too muich confusion.... Put all the data,...
Too muich confusion....
Put all the data, table, criteria, aside for the moment
Let 2 represent that PP2 beats PP1
Let 1 represent that PP1 beats PP2
In a series of races, we have the...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-26-2014, 02:39 PM
Replies:
262
Limiting our betting choices to the two top Bris Prime Power horses
Views:
28,969
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Dl, Expected Win % for PP1 = Odds Ratio for...
Dl,
Expected Win % for PP1 = Odds Ratio for PP1/ (Odds Ratio for PP1 + Odds Ratio for PP2)
Odds Ratios based on your table for long term stats and Expected Win % for PP1 is for a single event....
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-26-2014, 01:13 PM
Replies:
262
Limiting our betting choices to the two top Bris Prime Power horses
Views:
28,969
Posted By
TrifectaMike
A marriage of what you suggest with Dave's monte...
A marriage of what you suggest with Dave's monte hall thingy might have possibilities.
Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-14-2014, 07:12 AM
Replies:
64
Playalong/Workshop on "Inside Information"
Views:
6,623
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Hi lansdale, Following the flow of money bet...
Hi lansdale,
Following the flow of money bet to determine "informed" betting is chaotic at best. Identifying "bad" money is doable. And leads to more stable solutions and useful information for...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-12-2014, 09:16 AM
Replies:
9
Bris prime power by gender..
Views:
2,160
Posted By
TrifectaMike
More importantly, DL has a methodology in place,...
More importantly, DL has a methodology in place, which allows him to assess how well (or not) the public treats the data derived factors as expressed by the odds.
Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-12-2014, 09:00 AM
Replies:
64
Playalong/Workshop on "Inside Information"
Views:
6,623
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Robert, you might find this useful (down the...
Robert, you might find this useful (down the road).
I kinda left this hanging. I've given it some thought, and I believe I have a way of explaining in understandable terms without giving up too...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-11-2014, 11:13 PM
Replies:
194
Predicting Speed Rating from Past Ratings
Views:
27,104
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Precious. Mike
Precious.
Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-06-2014, 08:42 AM
Replies:
194
Predicting Speed Rating from Past Ratings
Views:
27,104
Posted By
TrifectaMike
Just a simple tale. Seeking a solution to...
Just a simple tale. Seeking a solution to question A and discovering something more important.
Mike
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-06-2014, 08:38 AM
Replies:
194
Predicting Speed Rating from Past Ratings
Views:
27,104
Posted By
TrifectaMike
With a Hierarchical Bayes Model Mike
With a Hierarchical Bayes Model
Mike
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500
Page 1 of 20
1
2
3
11
>
Last
»
Forum Jump
User Control Panel
Private Messages
Subscriptions
Who's Online
Search Forums
Forums Home
Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion
General Handicapping Discussion
Interviews
General Racing Discussion
Handicapper's Corner
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
Handicapping Software
HandiFast Handicapping Software
Advance Deposit Wagering (ADW)
Handicapping Library
Horseplayers Association of North America (H.A.N.A.)
Selections
Contests + Other Interesting Racing Topics
Harness Racing
Off-Site Handicapping Contests
Off Topic
Off Topic - General
Off Topic - Sports
Off Topic - Computers
Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets
Off Topic - Poker
» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
90; 89; 91; 90
67; 71; 82; 89
»
View Poll Results
»
Comment On This Poll
»
This Poll Has 32 Replies
Powered by
vBadvanced
CMPS v3.2.3
All times are GMT -4. The time now is
02:38 AM
.
-- Default 2017
---- Reduced Width
------ Full Screen
PaceAdvantage.com
-
Archive
-
Privacy Statement
-
Terms of Service
-
Top
Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.