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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-06-2019, 09:26 PM
Replies: 80
Views: 6,315
Posted By highnote
Good thoughts. Nick Mordin also had some...

Good thoughts. Nick Mordin also had some interesting ideas about certain horses needing to be on the rail and others needing to be off the rail. Some like to break from inside posts, some like to...
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-06-2019, 09:14 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 869
Posted By highnote
You're wrong about this. I never had any...

You're wrong about this. I never had any ulterior motive except to understand the controversy. And I tried to take a big picture view of it. It is a fact that people will be controversial on...
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-06-2019, 09:00 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 869
Posted By highnote
On the second time reading it through it makes...

On the second time reading it through it makes more sense. It was just a such a weird story it took me a while to make sense of it. Liberals bashing the NYT?

I saw the headline and I truly did...
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-06-2019, 08:44 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 869
Posted By highnote
I knew when I posted I was probably asking for...

I knew when I posted I was probably asking for trouble because people might think I have some agenda. My only agenda is understanding what it is about the headline that has people so upset. I...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-06-2019, 08:26 PM
Replies: 80
Views: 6,315
Posted By highnote
Yes. Anyone who reads the book needs to be...

Yes. Anyone who reads the book needs to be patient while they read the book. It is filled with gems.

I've always said if you can get one really good idea from a book that is worth $50. Fotias'...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-06-2019, 08:09 PM
Replies: 80
Views: 6,315
Posted By highnote
CORRECTION: I am not sure it was James Quinn...

CORRECTION:

I am not sure it was James Quinn who called Fotias' book revolutionary. I thought it was him or Mark Cramer, but I can't find the quote now. So let me call the book revolutionary. ...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-06-2019, 07:55 PM
Replies: 2,345
Views: 193,929
Posted By highnote
Saratoga Mike wrote: "For Sept, there's a 42%...

Saratoga Mike wrote: "For Sept, there's a 42% chance of a 50 bps cut and a 58% chance of 25 bps (so 100% chance of a cut)."

I interpreted this to mean that there is a 100% chance of a cut where,
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-06-2019, 07:39 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 700
Posted By highnote
Have you tried Amwager? They have an impressive...

Have you tried Amwager? They have an impressive list of track on offer.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-06-2019, 07:32 PM
Replies: 80
Views: 6,315
Posted By highnote
"Blinkers Off -- New Frontiers in Form Cycle...

"Blinkers Off -- New Frontiers in Form Cycle Analysis" is one of the most beautifully written investment books I have ever read. It is every bit as good as Ed Thorp's "Beat the Market" when it comes...
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-06-2019, 05:26 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 869
Posted By highnote
A couple of thoughts... the NYT headline seemed...

A couple of thoughts... the NYT headline seemed ok to me. What's wrong with promoting unity vs. racism? I guess the complaints on PA are from conservatives toward liberals who are critical of the...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-06-2019, 02:49 PM
Replies: 2,345
Views: 193,929
Posted By highnote
Here is a summary of the blog piece I wrote...

Here is a summary of the blog piece I wrote yesterday about whether to buy, sell, or stand pat after the big selloff on Monday, August 5, 2019:
...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-06-2019, 03:32 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 465
Posted By highnote
My mining stock was up about 6% today, but my...

My mining stock was up about 6% today, but my other stocks were down about 2.5%. I am more heavily weighted in non-mining stocks, so my overall portfolio was only down a little compared to the...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-06-2019, 03:20 AM
Replies: 2,345
Views: 193,929
Posted By highnote
Anybody have a prediction on which stocks or...

Anybody have a prediction on which stocks or other asset classes will be most likely to go up in this current market environment?

According to Ray Dalio there are four factors that move the price...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-06-2019, 02:26 AM
Replies: 56
Views: 8,458
Posted By highnote
Your call on the timing might be right!

Your call on the timing might be right!
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-06-2019, 02:10 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 668
Posted By highnote
Stock Market Models

I thought it might be interesting to hear from others about what types of models or decision making tools they use to invest in the market. If you have any thoughts please feel free to add to the...
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-05-2019, 08:56 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 2,675
Posted By highnote
There was a clandestine CIA office in building 7....

There was a clandestine CIA office in building 7. That fact was revealed after 911.
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-05-2019, 05:24 PM
Replies: 2,345
Views: 193,929
Posted By highnote
Prime rate is 5.25 Bill Ziemba and I...

Prime rate is 5.25

Bill Ziemba and I co-wrote this paper on using Zweig today:

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/21649502.2015.1165917

It has served me well.
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-05-2019, 05:21 PM
Replies: 2,345
Views: 193,929
Posted By highnote
There is an old saying that low interest rates...

There is an old saying that low interest rates have long tails. So I expect them to stay low for the next couple of years.
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-05-2019, 05:06 PM
Replies: 2,345
Views: 193,929
Posted By highnote
A 50 point cut would send a very interesting...

A 50 point cut would send a very interesting signal. Right now rates are around 5.25%. Historically, that is not all that low. Back in the early 60s my grandfather shopped around for a loan. He...
Forum: Off Topic - General 08-05-2019, 04:34 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 2,675
Posted By highnote
Why did building 7 collapse when not hit by a...

Why did building 7 collapse when not hit by a plane but others did. Why was building 7 vacant?
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-05-2019, 04:29 PM
Replies: 2,345
Views: 193,929
Posted By highnote
I read or heard the bond or futures market was...

I read or heard the bond or futures market was pricing in a 90% likelihood of lower rates. I forget how many basis points. But the point is rates are probably going lower. Bad for savers. Good for...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-05-2019, 04:01 PM
Replies: 2,345
Views: 193,929
Posted By highnote
This is good. The market hit all time highs...

This is good. The market hit all time highs recently. A pull back should make for some buying opportunities.

My gold/silver mining stocks are up 5% today.

Ray Dalio gave good advice about...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-05-2019, 02:22 PM
Replies: 2,345
Views: 193,929
Posted By highnote
Maybe. I assume he would buy a good value...

Maybe. I assume he would buy a good value regardless of the level of the sp
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-05-2019, 02:14 PM
Replies: 2,345
Views: 193,929
Posted By highnote
The model I use has three monetary factors and...

The model I use has three monetary factors and one momentum factor plus I use a few more. The SP has fallen 4% from its peak which is negative momentum and is a sell signal. However, in this case it...
Forum: Off Topic - Trading The Financial Markets 08-05-2019, 01:39 PM
Replies: 2,345
Views: 193,929
Posted By highnote
Also the inverted yield curve is a concern. The...

Also the inverted yield curve is a concern. The rate cut actually caused it to become steeper. I doubt that was what the fed was hoping for.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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