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Forum: General Racing Discussion Today, 11:28 AM
Replies: 646
Views: 90,549
Posted By cj
LRL, R4, 11-10. The footnote in the chart...

LRL, R4, 11-10.

The footnote in the chart does tell you the final time is a hand time due to a malfunction of the new GPS system in us at this track. If you lump this time in with the...
Forum: General Racing Discussion Today, 10:33 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 1,530
Posted By cj
In the winter last year, November through March,...

In the winter last year, November through March, 41% of the races had fields of 6 horses or less. Not commenting either way, just putting a number on it.
Forum: General Racing Discussion Today, 10:16 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 322
Posted By cj
As for the 6yo question, I see it all the time...

As for the 6yo question, I see it all the time these days, horses running new tops at advanced ages. It usually involves a move to new barn, almost always barns known for move ups.
Forum: General Racing Discussion Today, 10:14 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 322
Posted By cj
We aren't the same, sorry about that. I saw the...

We aren't the same, sorry about that. I saw the name Beyer and incorrectly thought you mentioned his figure for the race too, which was a 119.

I personally feel it is a lot more likely the top two...
Forum: General Racing Discussion Today, 12:46 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 322
Posted By cj
Not sure I want to get into details of what I...

Not sure I want to get into details of what I think of somebody else's figure, particularly when we work for the same company. These are his figures, most recent back to last year's BC win:


128...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-10-2018, 02:47 PM
Replies: 139
Views: 3,847
Posted By cj
I didn't really think he'd run fast enough around...

I didn't really think he'd run fast enough around two turns to be a contender in the Classic. The TimeformUS Race Rating, which you know all about, was 132. These were his route races. I like the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-10-2018, 02:00 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 846
Posted By cj
You have enough going on without trying to be a...

You have enough going on without trying to be a moderator as well. I'm sure you are way too young to know about NYPD Blue, but that is the standard here. If you want to report a post, do so. These...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-08-2018, 06:08 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 2,049
Posted By cj
Ritvo was full of it. They have been running...

Ritvo was full of it. They have been running races with 600 feet of run up since that article was published. He said 200 was too far, so they tripled it. :)

Some of the run ups they report as...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-08-2018, 05:38 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 2,049
Posted By cj
Yep, it is terrible, and to make it worse there...

Yep, it is terrible, and to make it worse there are a select few that actually have the information (via Trakus timing or GPS timing systems). Tracks apparently request they DO NOT give it to us, at...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-08-2018, 05:35 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 2,049
Posted By cj
I have no idea how you drew that conclusion from...

I have no idea how you drew that conclusion from my post. I make speed and pace figures and combine the two into one number. That is basically the polar opposite of what you inferred. I have to work...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-08-2018, 12:38 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 1,230
Posted By cj
Maybe an apology?

Maybe an apology?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-08-2018, 12:36 PM
Replies: 57
Views: 2,049
Posted By cj
Making a mountain out of a molehill here in my...

Making a mountain out of a molehill here in my opinion. Yes, it isn't perfectly accurate. It also isn't as bad as is being made out either. The problems can be minimized to an extent, and in the...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-07-2018, 04:35 PM
Replies: 646
Views: 90,549
Posted By cj
Nothing new for them. Belterra is just as bad. ...

Nothing new for them. Belterra is just as bad.

I always wonder how long slot machines are allowed to go in repaired at racinos.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-06-2018, 10:21 PM
Replies: 139
Views: 3,847
Posted By cj
I try to tell people this all the time. They are...

I try to tell people this all the time. They are one part of the puzzle. Maybe back when Beyer made figures before he went public he could blindly bet them and win, though I tend to doubt figs alone...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-06-2018, 10:19 PM
Replies: 98
Views: 3,602
Posted By cj
What was the point of him throwing McKinzie in...

What was the point of him throwing McKinzie in there? They never faced each other. And he was never Baffert's Derby horse any more than Justify was. He just ran sooner and was more well known.

It...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-06-2018, 07:31 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 1,005
Posted By cj
Ummm, no. I'd think if the response is good...

Ummm, no.

I'd think if the response is good being an advertiser next year should be required. :)
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-06-2018, 07:18 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 1,005
Posted By cj
I don't see a problem with leaving it up after...

I don't see a problem with leaving it up after the fact. PA may vary. :)
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-06-2018, 04:52 PM
Replies: 38
Views: 1,565
Posted By cj
It has been a long time since I used BRIS, but...

It has been a long time since I used BRIS, but Tom has the right I think.

http://www.brisnet.com/cgi-bin/static.cgi?page=drfsff

I don't remember those fields for DRF Speed Figure and Variant...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-06-2018, 12:55 PM
Replies: 98
Views: 3,602
Posted By cj
You could add the Goodwood (now Awesome Again) to...

You could add the Goodwood (now Awesome Again) to the list, and obviously he'd be the only won to do the SoCal Grand Slam plus the BC Classic.

This is going to be a tough decision for me...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-06-2018, 12:50 PM
Replies: 48
Views: 1,494
Posted By cj
The Powerball and such is a positive expectation...

The Powerball and such is a positive expectation bet when the carryover gets to 600 million or so, we just aren't likely to live long enough to actually cash in on the odds. :)'

Similar to these...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-06-2018, 12:47 PM
Replies: 48
Views: 1,494
Posted By cj
It really doesn't matter if the sequence was...

It really doesn't matter if the sequence was chalky or not. They paid out 79% of the pool, whether it was chalky or six longshots won.

My point about the huge carryovers is they aren't what they...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-06-2018, 12:43 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 1,155
Posted By cj
This, of course, is just using the estimated...

This, of course, is just using the estimated beaten lengths and converting it to time. This is how I learned the industry standard is 9 feet, backtracking to see how they were calculating individual...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-06-2018, 12:42 PM
Replies: 31
Views: 1,155
Posted By cj
Not to nitpick too much, but it isn't 0.18 at the...

Not to nitpick too much, but it isn't 0.18 at the finish. It varies with distance, could be anywhere from 0.14 at short distances to 0.17, maybe 0.18 at really long ones.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-06-2018, 11:01 AM
Replies: 48
Views: 1,494
Posted By cj
The common theory has been that on mandatory...

The common theory has been that on mandatory payout days the carryover overcomes the takeout, or greatly reduces it. If the numbers I found are correct, that wasn't the case. People seem to be...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-06-2018, 10:46 AM
Replies: 48
Views: 1,494
Posted By cj
Are these really great days to bet into these...

Are these really great days to bet into these pools any longer? This is the best I can figure from news reports and the charts. There was a 1,143,194 carryover from Saturday. There was 6,745,114 of...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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