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Search took 0.19 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: f2tornado
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 10:42 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 300
Posted By f2tornado
I like Fierceness but will shop for another horse...

I like Fierceness but will shop for another horse or two I can do something with on top as a back up play. The FL Derby Fierceness is unlikely to get beat. If he doesn’t run that race then it’s wide...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-12-2024, 09:29 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 407
Posted By f2tornado
I did throw him underneath on a few Future pool...

I did throw him underneath on a few Future pool exactas but I'm not expecting to cash those tickets after he was hooked from a mildly troubled trip Sierra Leone. Further, the Rags scored the winner...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-12-2024, 08:35 AM
Replies: 34
Views: 3,310
Posted By f2tornado
Plus too much coincidence or hanky-panky...

Plus too much coincidence or hanky-panky (depending on one's perspective) in recent years. Justify belated SA DQ, Maximum Security Derby DQ, The late running COVID Derby, Medina Spirit with Jimmy...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-12-2024, 08:01 AM
Replies: 31
Views: 1,414
Posted By f2tornado
The :2: was only a 1/2 length behind what was one...

The :2: was only a 1/2 length behind what was one of the early favorites for the Derby. This seems like a good landing spot and one can't complain about the pilot.

There's probably some intent...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-06-2024, 07:46 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 603
Posted By f2tornado
It's a million dollar colt from the Tapit sire...

It's a million dollar colt from the Tapit sire line. Hasn't ran like a million bucks yet but sometimes they pop. Not one I'm playing on top but wouldn't be stunned against this somewhat weak field. ...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-06-2024, 04:49 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 1,080
Posted By f2tornado
Put $10 on the 1 and 9 but wasn't close on the...

Put $10 on the 1 and 9 but wasn't close on the vertical gimmicks. JV and Franco are the studs there, Maybe I should have considered the post above suggesting a pool play at 99-1, not that I expect...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-31-2024, 10:54 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 2,238
Posted By f2tornado
I thought the Lukas place horse ran a great race...

I thought the Lukas place horse ran a great race and had enough closing energy to consider, at what promises to be a decent price, for gimmicks in Louisville. The rest are probably tosses.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-31-2024, 10:46 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 1,651
Posted By f2tornado
If he matches that performance at Churchill Downs...

If he matches that performance at Churchill Downs then it will take a very big leap amongst another contender to get the job done. Post position might be a factor for this one. Maybe just one first...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-21-2024, 02:39 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,833
Posted By f2tornado
Geroux was hot and some public cappers were on...

Geroux was hot and some public cappers were on it. I managed to get lucky snagging an all single P5 for $86. Stakes days at FG are amongst my favorite days to bet.

Not convinced either will be a...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-07-2023, 03:14 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 1,286
Posted By f2tornado
I have a slight negative ROI on WPS wagers. If...

I have a slight negative ROI on WPS wagers. If not for the TwinSpires and TVG promo race refunds, it would be worse. I don't make a lot of exacta and trifecta wagers but am probably in the red on...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 07-10-2023, 04:16 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 3,407
Posted By f2tornado
https://youtu.be/EoBob9hiM2s

https://youtu.be/EoBob9hiM2s
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 06-12-2023, 05:30 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,379
Posted By f2tornado
I could find the will pays on TS but not the...

I could find the will pays on TS but not the probables. I ended up getting them off TVG app. Was live on two to Forte. Oops.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 06-10-2023, 11:16 PM
Replies: 71
Views: 6,843
Posted By f2tornado
I was live on the 2-day P6, a P4, and a pair of...

I was live on the 2-day P6, a P4, and a pair of $5 doubles to the :6: Forte. Had some backup plays with the :2: and :8:. Had a hunch the :3: would fire but that hunch came far too late. Ugh. Managed...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 06-06-2023, 09:23 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,379
Posted By f2tornado
I'm largely in the same boat but there's plenty...

I'm largely in the same boat but there's plenty of other wagering options for me if I I feel the need to spread. I'll often make an all single play on high rent wagers like the Keeneland Turf P3 or...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-30-2023, 10:17 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 4,170
Posted By f2tornado
This. Then there is Tonalist who came in fresh...

This. Then there is Tonalist who came in fresh from the Peter Pan. One cannot easily dismiss that Tapit line in the Belmont. The Raise A Native line was dominant there before the Tapits took over....
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-22-2023, 10:01 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 2,641
Posted By f2tornado
From a wagering perspective, I don't want a...

From a wagering perspective, I don't want a Triple Crown, Grand Slam or whatever too often. The best money is made when you beat one of those dominant horses. That said, it's fun to watch a truly...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-22-2023, 09:50 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 4,170
Posted By f2tornado
Some possible runners per HRN gurus. Hit show...

Some possible runners per HRN gurus. Hit show would make some sense. Unfortunately, Mage did not win the Preakness so this will not be one of those years where every other horse is an effective...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-19-2023, 11:39 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 2,507
Posted By f2tornado
That was my take. That Forte wasn't his best and...

That was my take. That Forte wasn't his best and probably wins by five plus if he's not all washed up and five wide.



Yes, please. Now's the chance to avoid the redboard. Maybe if Mage takes...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-16-2023, 09:30 AM
Replies: 1
Views: 454
Posted By f2tornado
Certainly, but you won't cover every combination...

Certainly, but you won't cover every combination without a full box. The example below would have five horses in each position but leaves out some combos on the top side which cuts the price of the...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-16-2023, 09:08 AM
Replies: 49
Views: 6,005
Posted By f2tornado
Plus, a Paul Allen race call can be quite...

Plus, a Paul Allen race call can be quite entertaining. Paul Allen
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-16-2023, 09:03 AM
Replies: 68
Views: 7,120
Posted By f2tornado
Will see if my meteorology degree is still worth...

Will see if my meteorology degree is still worth a lick. Friday looks dry with a narrow ribbon of high pressure in place. There is a decaying front moving through Saturday that might have a shower...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-10-2023, 01:12 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,305
Posted By f2tornado
I didn't consider that angle. I also didn't...

I didn't consider that angle. I also didn't consider if I was TAP, I'd probably want to boycott that place if there were equal races elsewhere. But, it is a graded stakes with a decent purse, at the...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-09-2023, 05:31 PM
Replies: 69
Views: 6,687
Posted By f2tornado
Yes, Kings could be much like TAPs Vino Rosso...

Yes, Kings could be much like TAPs Vino Rosso that did some of his best running in the 4 year old campaign.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-09-2023, 10:13 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 1,305
Posted By f2tornado
I suppose the Belmont is a possibility otherwise...

I suppose the Belmont is a possibility otherwise not much for G1 options until the Haskell. The G3 Matt Winn could be an option if TAP wants an shorter option in June.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-08-2023, 12:34 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,428
Posted By f2tornado
You have to go six generations back. Puca =>...

You have to go six generations back. Puca => Boat's Ghost => Rocktheboat => Summer Squall => Weekend Surprise => Lassie Dear => Buckpasser

It's my understanding of the hypothesis that the genetics...
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