Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Search Forums


Showing results 1 to 25 of 456
Search took 0.11 seconds.
Search: Posts Made By: Half Smoke
Forum: Handicapper's Corner 11-26-2021, 05:40 PM
Replies: 39
Views: 3,078
Posted By Half Smoke
__________ this is an unscientific...

__________


this is an unscientific observation but anyway

years ago I had this idea that shots would be more likely to win in certain types of races

specifically I was looking at cheap...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-22-2021, 06:08 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 2,006
Posted By Half Smoke
............. Formula.............. ...

.............

Formula..............


You first logged on here with your data crunches in August of 2011

That’s more than 10 years ago

What’s your ETA.........would you say?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-22-2021, 08:58 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 2,006
Posted By Half Smoke
............ It’s such an easy game...

............



It’s such an easy game but IIRC you posted that you don’t bet

.....hunh............????


.
Forum: Off Topic - General 11-10-2021, 07:57 AM
Replies: 168
Views: 10,427
Posted By Half Smoke
the link provides a nice view of the homes of...

the link provides a nice view of the homes of some miserable people on the French Riviera

most refer to France as a socialist country

I wish I was that miserable__________________(-:\


....
Forum: Off Topic - General 11-10-2021, 07:12 AM
Replies: 168
Views: 10,427
Posted By Half Smoke
some George Carlin's . “Think of how...

some George Carlin's


.
“Think of how stupid the average person is, and realize half of them are stupider than that.”

"If it’s true that our species is alone in the universe, then I’d have...
Forum: Off Topic - General 11-09-2021, 06:16 AM
Replies: 168
Views: 10,427
Posted By Half Smoke
___________ from the TV show "The...

___________


from the TV show "The Office"_________


.
you're so weak you need to be on steroids just to watch baseball
Forum: Off Topic - General 11-09-2021, 06:07 AM
Replies: 1,650
Views: 299,362
Posted By Half Smoke
__________ movie is from...

__________


movie is from '89_________perfect for this forum

the mutual teller is really good at math
.

.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VosZzVlqxTg
Forum: General Racing Discussion 11-04-2021, 06:20 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 2,156
Posted By Half Smoke
Baffert standing tall at Breeders Cup

_________


running 8 horses

more scrutiny of him but basically his CA chums are again letting him skate yet again
.

.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-02-2021, 01:14 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 5,576
Posted By Half Smoke
why would you do a complicated thing like that...

why would you do a complicated thing like that when the win odds as displayed by the tote already have considered the takeout?


.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-02-2021, 11:09 AM
Replies: 79
Views: 5,576
Posted By Half Smoke
I don't get what he's doing at all why would...

I don't get what he's doing at all

why would you mess with takeout when the tote has already considered takeout?

although the take on exactas is maybe 2 - 6% more than the take on win bets -...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-02-2021, 06:20 AM
Replies: 79
Views: 5,576
Posted By Half Smoke
___________ the linked chart...

___________





the linked chart from Brisnet comes to a much different conclusion

according to Brisnet 2/1 over 3/1 has a fair payout of $16 for a $ 2 bet which makes it $ 8.00 for a $...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-01-2021, 03:06 PM
Replies: 79
Views: 5,576
Posted By Half Smoke
__________ the other thing I noticed is...

__________


the other thing I noticed is this - curious about your view

if the fave comes over the 2nd fave it just about always seems to be a short pay - and to me, not worth betting

...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-01-2021, 07:10 AM
Replies: 79
Views: 5,576
Posted By Half Smoke
___________ I'm believe your R.O.I. on...

___________



I'm believe your R.O.I. on your exacta plays would improve on the low odds horses if you do 2 things

I haven't read thru all of your posts but as far as I can tell you have not...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-24-2021, 07:08 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 914
Posted By Half Smoke
takeout & breakage

_____________



looking at the linked chart from HANA it looks like NYRA tracks and Keeneland have the best deal on takeout. Woodbine has a better deal on WPS but bumps up the exacta take to...
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 10-18-2021, 05:39 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 497
Posted By Half Smoke
_________ 2019 NFL regular season ...

_________


2019 NFL regular season


road dogs who got 4 points or fewer


41-30-4__________57.7% winners__________not considering pushes
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 10-18-2021, 01:29 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 497
Posted By Half Smoke
maybe - but I can't think of any reason that...

maybe - but I can't think of any reason that traveling could have possibly benefitted road dogs

if anything, if would seem to hurt them more - since traveling during Covid was weird and stressful...
Forum: Off Topic - Sports 10-18-2021, 09:46 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 497
Posted By Half Smoke
beat the NFL spread

__________


as you can see from the image, statistician Mike Shackleford, who runs the Wizard of Vegas website documented about 2,100 games for road dogs and found them to be profitable by 2.57%...
Forum: Handicapping Library 10-12-2021, 05:59 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 2,917
Posted By Half Smoke
______________ I didn't know that book so...

______________


I didn't know that book so I got curious


I googled around and found an article about the guy (linked)


pretty interesting
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-07-2021, 09:54 AM
Replies: 0
Views: 148
Posted By Half Smoke
Waldorf, Maryland - little Las Vegas

_________


this article was of special interest to me because I'm a Maryland homey - but I think it might be of interest to anybody interested in the history of gambling

to the best of my...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-06-2021, 10:06 AM
Replies: 33
Views: 1,372
Posted By Half Smoke
______________ as to Dave's point - just...

______________


as to Dave's point - just to add one other fact



some of the small ethnic based grocery stores are very dirty inside
I don't at all trust their fresh meat offerings
they...
Forum: Off Topic - General 10-06-2021, 06:37 AM
Replies: 33
Views: 1,372
Posted By Half Smoke
tricks of the grocery stores

___________



It's not like you're going to save a fortune by not getting beat by grocery stores - maybe a few hundred a year - but its nice to know their tricks didn't fool you



trick 1:
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-05-2021, 07:16 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 5,016
Posted By Half Smoke
the link is to a great many columns by Beyer in...

the link is to a great many columns by Beyer in the Post

not sure if it has all of them

I read the Post - without subscribing they'll sometimes let me read one, sometimes two stories in a day -...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-04-2021, 06:30 PM
Replies: 59
Views: 5,016
Posted By Half Smoke
________ to throw my two cents in -...

________



to throw my two cents in - FWIW


I think there are a few (very few) freaks who beat racing making lots of bets

as they do betting sports
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-04-2021, 07:13 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 5,016
Posted By Half Smoke
__________ back in the day, at Laurel, we...

__________


back in the day, at Laurel, we all called the Trifecta the "Triple"



.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-04-2021, 06:40 AM
Replies: 59
Views: 5,016
Posted By Half Smoke
__________ his home base was for a long...

__________


his home base was for a long time Laurel/Pimlico - I'm also from the DC area - Laurel is close by - that's also where I played

one day I saw him in the pay for seating area betting...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 456

 
Forum Jump
» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wagering Pool with best chance to find an overlay.
Win - 36.36%
20 Votes
Place - 3.64%
2 Votes
Show - 9.09%
5 Votes
Exacta - 30.91%
17 Votes
Trifecta - 7.27%
4 Votes
Superfexta - 1.82%
1 Vote
Pick(x) - 10.91%
6 Votes
Hi 5 Pentafecta - 0%
0 Votes
Total Votes: 55
This poll is closed.
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:57 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2021, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2021 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.