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Search took 0.61 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: Dave Schwartz
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Yesterday, 11:53 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 323
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Actually missed that. Thanks again. And...

Actually missed that.
Thanks again.

And welcome to PA.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Yesterday, 11:31 AM
Replies: 4
Views: 323
Posted By Dave Schwartz
This makes my head hurt but have promised that I...

This makes my head hurt but have promised that I will spend time working with the examples you provided.

Thank you for your effort.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Yesterday, 08:43 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 1,438
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I do not have a horse in the race named "Convince...

I do not have a horse in the race named "Convince SteveB to Agree With Me Stakes."
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Yesterday, 07:41 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 1,438
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Unfounded statements like the bolded part do not...

Unfounded statements like the bolded part do not help.

It may be so in your world - using your particular modeling techniques - but that does not make it a UNIVERSAL TRUTH.

I would hold that:
...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion Yesterday, 07:04 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 1,438
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Apparently the phrase, "Is it working?" was not...

Apparently the phrase, "Is it working?" was not clear.

If you are winning with what you are doing then it is working.

And by "IT," I mean the sum total of all that you do.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-16-2024, 09:05 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,054
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Found one more error: AQU 1 1/8 was missing. ...

Found one more error: AQU 1 1/8 was missing.

Adding it enabled me to improve all the route pars at AQU so the entire track was changed.

All files have been updated.
Just open your order and...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-16-2024, 08:56 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 1,438
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Lest I sounded critical, a simple test of...

Lest I sounded critical, a simple test of validity - with very little work - would be a single question? IS IT WORKING?


Cool colors, BTW.

______
PS: Grammar guys - was my usage of the word...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-16-2024, 06:29 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 1,438
Posted By Dave Schwartz
We also need some objective statistics that show...

We also need some objective statistics that show our chosen approach has validity.

"I think" does not necessarily equate to reality.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-15-2024, 10:12 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 1,438
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Not a fan of random forests. Yes, my new AI...

Not a fan of random forests.
Yes, my new AI uses it for one of its handicapping approaches known as "Best Horse."

Best Horse - in its simplest form, is just what it sounds like. It assigns a...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-15-2024, 09:45 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 1,438
Posted By Dave Schwartz
It's not enough to win, so I'd say not. And...

It's not enough to win, so I'd say not.

And the calcs are monstrous for someone using paper & pencil.

But your point is not too far off in the sense that doing what everyone else is doing isn't...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-15-2024, 06:31 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 1,438
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Shockingly, there is correlation to future...

Shockingly, there is correlation to future performance even with no reference to the ratings involved.

Time-decayed positional gain/loss is not as good as lengths gained or lost, but they all have...
Forum: Off Topic - General 04-15-2024, 02:09 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 298
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I can do that later this afternoon by reaching...

I can do that later this afternoon by reaching out to a friend who is a local real estate agent there.

Please send me as much info as you can on pricing, menu, etc.
Forum: Off Topic - General 04-14-2024, 08:37 PM
Replies: 71
Views: 6,494
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Wow. Considering the damage he did to the US...

Wow.

Considering the damage he did to the US (and, hence, the world), imagine if he'd gotten a 2nd term.

And this one is far worse.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-14-2024, 05:50 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 599
Posted By Dave Schwartz
There's just no accounting for the strength of an...

There's just no accounting for the strength of an old soldier.

Welcome home, Chuck.
Forum: Off Topic - General 04-14-2024, 03:26 PM
Replies: 71
Views: 6,494
Posted By Dave Schwartz
In our area the housing market is booming. Our...

In our area the housing market is booming. Our home went up 3.6% LAST MONTH!

It is, as you said, Ralph, about the shortage of inventory.

My next door neighbor was planning on moving to Phoenix...
Forum: Off Topic - General 04-12-2024, 02:20 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 272
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I get a message saying "It's not you, it's us." ...

I get a message saying "It's not you, it's us."
500 internal server error.

Doesn't display the document.
Forum: Off Topic - General 04-12-2024, 01:16 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 272
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Post has disappeared.

Post has disappeared.
Forum: Off Topic - General 04-10-2024, 10:51 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 1,405
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Your entire post was amazingly level-headed and...

Your entire post was amazingly level-headed and accurate.

Especially for a first post.


Welcome to PA.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-09-2024, 10:54 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 4,693
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I recall the conversation. Reach out and I'll...

I recall the conversation.
Reach out and I'll help if I can.



Meanwhile, about 8 months ago I finished an AI system that could best be described as a DEEP LEARNING, CONVOLUTIONAL GENETIC...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-09-2024, 09:08 PM
Replies: 65
Views: 4,693
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I like your style. :ThmbUp::ThmbUp: Reach...

I like your style.
:ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

Reach out if you want some conversation on your AI approach. I have some degree of experience writing AI engines.
Forum: Off Topic - General 04-09-2024, 10:20 AM
Replies: 49
Views: 1,211
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Do you live in Sierra Madre?

Do you live in Sierra Madre?
Forum: Off Topic - General 04-07-2024, 01:29 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 453
Posted By Dave Schwartz
And maybe the lack of policing crime in and...

And maybe the lack of policing crime in and around stores had some tiny impact?
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-06-2024, 05:36 PM
Replies: 30
Views: 2,349
Posted By Dave Schwartz
Less than three points is still negligible.

Less than three points is still negligible.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-06-2024, 02:48 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 308
Posted By Dave Schwartz
HorseStreet Pars

https://objects-us-east-1.dream.io/pmtr-store/Pars2024/HStreetPars-v2.png

Thanks to the feedback from 2 users, I found and corrected some issues in the 2024 Par Times.

What you should do:
Go...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-06-2024, 11:20 AM
Replies: 30
Views: 2,349
Posted By Dave Schwartz
I see these two horses as inseparable. Both...

I see these two horses as inseparable.

Both have shown to be on steady improvement - but I can see how the top horse would be perceived as a better horse by virtue of more races in the 90-range.
...
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