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Search took 0.20 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: f2tornado
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 10:16 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 465
Posted By f2tornado
Just getting started. Made a :14:/:17: Oaks/Derby...

Just getting started. Made a :14:/:17: Oaks/Derby Double. Pletcher/Pletcher
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 05:41 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 458
Posted By f2tornado
TwinSpires also has live Oaks and Oaks/Derby...

TwinSpires also has live Oaks and Oaks/Derby Double action

The Derby is also open on TVG.

I always like those $10 refund options if your horse hits the money but not the wire too.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 05:13 AM
Replies: 50
Views: 2,591
Posted By f2tornado
Andrew Beyer is taking Fierceness. That's...

Andrew Beyer is taking Fierceness. That's historically been a kiss of death for this specific race.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-30-2024, 01:57 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 896
Posted By f2tornado
Thoro-Graph for that horse: 9 3/4, 2 2/2, 8, 2...

Thoro-Graph for that horse: 9 3/4, 2 2/2, 8, 2 1/2, 7, 1.

If that pattern keeps going, he's gonna bounce bad. If he can match that 1 then he's a contender, at least for a shot at the board....
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-30-2024, 01:22 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 863
Posted By f2tornado
Me neither. My brother likes him and he does...

Me neither. My brother likes him and he does sometimes come up with a goofy exotics filler. Axel Concepcion? That name doesn't scream Derby to me but neither did Sony Leon riding Rich Strike. I'd...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-30-2024, 01:01 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 785
Posted By f2tornado
I don't like either. TP is a proven fader and...

I don't like either. TP is a proven fader and Dornoch has the same speed figures that simply are not good enough to win this race barring some drastic improvement. If I had to pick one or the other...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-30-2024, 12:18 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 796
Posted By f2tornado
There's not many 96+ Brisnet LP horses this year....

There's not many 96+ Brisnet LP horses this year. If those two don't fire then we are down to just a few. I'm not 100% convinced Fieceness is a true E8 "need the lead" type and can envision this one...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-30-2024, 11:52 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 1,849
Posted By f2tornado
I think his final prep was too slow but the horse...

I think his final prep was too slow but the horse only has three races and has room to improve. The big Brisnet EP pace figures remind me a bit of Battle of Midway at SA some years back who managed...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-26-2024, 02:59 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 2,266
Posted By f2tornado
There's only three or four horses I'd trust on...

There's only three or four horses I'd trust on top of my tickets this year. The hard part of Derby capping in most recent years is picking the horse or two that can blow up the exotics.

A recent...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-26-2024, 02:40 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 2,333
Posted By f2tornado
I'm still torn on this one. I get shades of Tapit...

I'm still torn on this one. I get shades of Tapit Trice will this guy. He's got the breeding but the figures don't match the eyes (and TT fit both). The raw time on his final 1/8th would have...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-26-2024, 02:22 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 1,849
Posted By f2tornado
I was skeptical of the numbers they put on Sierra...

I was skeptical of the numbers they put on Sierra Leone as neither would qualify him on the old Stanley Caris system. That said, some credit could be considered for a less than stellar, albeit...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-26-2024, 02:10 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 277
Posted By f2tornado
Such a tricky pool and somewhat based off KD...

Such a tricky pool and somewhat based off KD results. Muth is currently bouncing between 7/2 and 4-1 in very early wagering. I do think that's a decent price since I can envision that one being a bit...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-26-2024, 01:53 PM
Replies: 50
Views: 2,591
Posted By f2tornado
Perhaps the Justify-Good Magic-Audible-Instilled...

Perhaps the Justify-Good Magic-Audible-Instilled Regard superfecta payout was a fluke but it still paid astronomical for three chalks on top. You can still get paid well if you have the right...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-24-2024, 05:07 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 1,541
Posted By f2tornado
I believe it's been livestreamed on Facebook and...

I believe it's been livestreamed on Facebook and perhaps elsewhere.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-15-2024, 10:42 PM
Replies: 51
Views: 3,797
Posted By f2tornado
I like Fierceness but will shop for another horse...

I like Fierceness but will shop for another horse or two I can do something with on top as a back up play. The FL Derby Fierceness is unlikely to get beat. If he doesn’t run that race then it’s wide...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-12-2024, 09:29 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 716
Posted By f2tornado
I did throw him underneath on a few Future pool...

I did throw him underneath on a few Future pool exactas but I'm not expecting to cash those tickets after he was hooked from a mildly troubled trip Sierra Leone. Further, the Rags scored the winner...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-12-2024, 08:35 AM
Replies: 41
Views: 5,347
Posted By f2tornado
Plus too much coincidence or hanky-panky...

Plus too much coincidence or hanky-panky (depending on one's perspective) in recent years. Justify belated SA DQ, Maximum Security Derby DQ, The late running COVID Derby, Medina Spirit with Jimmy...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-12-2024, 08:01 AM
Replies: 31
Views: 2,139
Posted By f2tornado
The :2: was only a 1/2 length behind what was one...

The :2: was only a 1/2 length behind what was one of the early favorites for the Derby. This seems like a good landing spot and one can't complain about the pilot.

There's probably some intent...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-06-2024, 07:46 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 800
Posted By f2tornado
It's a million dollar colt from the Tapit sire...

It's a million dollar colt from the Tapit sire line. Hasn't ran like a million bucks yet but sometimes they pop. Not one I'm playing on top but wouldn't be stunned against this somewhat weak field. ...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-06-2024, 04:49 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 1,445
Posted By f2tornado
Put $10 on the 1 and 9 but wasn't close on the...

Put $10 on the 1 and 9 but wasn't close on the vertical gimmicks. JV and Franco are the studs there, Maybe I should have considered the post above suggesting a pool play at 99-1, not that I expect...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-31-2024, 10:54 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 3,075
Posted By f2tornado
I thought the Lukas place horse ran a great race...

I thought the Lukas place horse ran a great race and had enough closing energy to consider, at what promises to be a decent price, for gimmicks in Louisville. The rest are probably tosses.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-31-2024, 10:46 AM
Replies: 26
Views: 2,232
Posted By f2tornado
If he matches that performance at Churchill Downs...

If he matches that performance at Churchill Downs then it will take a very big leap amongst another contender to get the job done. Post position might be a factor for this one. Maybe just one first...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-21-2024, 02:39 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 1,856
Posted By f2tornado
Geroux was hot and some public cappers were on...

Geroux was hot and some public cappers were on it. I managed to get lucky snagging an all single P5 for $86. Stakes days at FG are amongst my favorite days to bet.

Not convinced either will be a...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 08-07-2023, 03:14 PM
Replies: 10
Views: 1,295
Posted By f2tornado
I have a slight negative ROI on WPS wagers. If...

I have a slight negative ROI on WPS wagers. If not for the TwinSpires and TVG promo race refunds, it would be worse. I don't make a lot of exacta and trifecta wagers but am probably in the red on...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 07-10-2023, 04:16 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 3,450
Posted By f2tornado
https://youtu.be/EoBob9hiM2s

https://youtu.be/EoBob9hiM2s
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