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Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

03-01-2019, 06:23 PM

Replies: 45

Beyer Speed Figure Math -- Can someone check this?

Views: 8,734

Posted By The Artful Dodger

Don't forget also that Beyer adjusts his figs for...

Don't forget also that Beyer adjusts his figs for trip.

In any case, as the old trainers say, "It isn't how fast a horse runs that counts, it's how he runs fast".

Speed = Form + Class +...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

03-01-2019, 06:14 PM

Replies: 222

HANDICAPPING IS RANDOM

Views: 26,829

Posted By The Artful Dodger

Handicapping is like the story of the two guys...

Handicapping is like the story of the two guys walking in the woods. They turn a corner and suddenly come upon a bear about 50 yards ahead of them. The bear begins to walk towards them. The one guy...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-24-2018, 12:49 AM

Replies: 22

How Best to Determine Size of Trifecta Bet

Views: 6,693

Posted By The Artful Dodger

After reading the above posts and doing some more...

After reading the above posts and doing some more thinking, I've decided to flat bet the trifecta at $50 across all tracks (3-horse box = $300).

The trifecta pools vary not only by track but by...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-19-2018, 11:52 PM

Replies: 22

How Best to Determine Size of Trifecta Bet

Views: 6,693

Posted By The Artful Dodger

Yes. I started with a $150 bankroll and kept my...

Yes. I started with a $150 bankroll and kept my risk at 2%, so my initial bets were 50¢. It grew fast. Inside of a week I was at $50.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-19-2018, 12:53 PM

Replies: 22

How Best to Determine Size of Trifecta Bet

Views: 6,693

Posted By The Artful Dodger

Let me clarify a bit. I exclude turf,...

Let me clarify a bit.

I exclude turf, maidens and 2 year-olds in my play.

I play everything else.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-19-2018, 12:27 PM

Replies: 22

How Best to Determine Size of Trifecta Bet

Views: 6,693

Posted By The Artful Dodger

Yes. Because I hit a lot of them. So I play them....

Yes. Because I hit a lot of them. So I play them.

The more I play, the more I make. The more I bet, the more I make.

Hence my original question. How to best optimize my operation given the...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-18-2018, 08:20 PM

Replies: 22

How Best to Determine Size of Trifecta Bet

Views: 6,693

Posted By The Artful Dodger

I'm betting a 3 horse box. I also pre-bet (I play...

I'm betting a 3 horse box. I also pre-bet (I play every tb track in North America every day) so Kelly wouldn't work for me unless I could somehow use the morning line. Probably wouldn't be too...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-18-2018, 01:22 AM

Replies: 22

How Best to Determine Size of Trifecta Bet

Views: 6,693

Posted By The Artful Dodger

How Best to Determine Size of Trifecta Bet

Does anyone know of a rule-of-thumb for determining how to best size a trifecta bet based on pool size? Any books or articles discussing this subject? I would like to bet as much as a $50 trifecta...

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