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Posts Made By:
Thunder Gulch
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-13-2018, 03:22 PM
Replies:
20
Online Betting While at The Kentucky Derby
Views:
2,368
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
It cuts both ways. There are a lot of temp...
It cuts both ways. There are a lot of temp mutuel clerks who give you a blank look when calling Pick 4 wheel.
I go every year and it is hit or miss. In some areas, the windows are 45 minutes...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-29-2015, 11:08 AM
Replies:
21
TVG analyst picks giacomo - live video reaction
Views:
2,012
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
that's just awesome. Haven't had too many...
that's just awesome. Haven't had too many moments like that, and certainly not with that sort of public exposure. Amazing
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-29-2015, 11:01 AM
Replies:
8
As a mostly horizontal player, is most of the dumb money in verticals for the KD?
Views:
1,025
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
I think the verticals are definitely the way to...
I think the verticals are definitely the way to go with fields such as these. Even when chalk wins, you can fatten the mutuel by hooking with bombs who aren't that far fetched if you work a few...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-28-2015, 04:25 PM
Replies:
299
Mubtaahij
Views:
34,605
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
Thanks CJ. I've been trying to figure out what...
Thanks CJ. I've been trying to figure out what to do. I didn't want to use him on top, and the 102 makes it easier to take off the top 2 lines than the 112. The 102 means he needs to improve,...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-28-2015, 02:08 PM
Replies:
55
Dortmund
Views:
6,526
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
Thanks for the photos Parson. Every shot I've...
Thanks for the photos Parson.
Every shot I've seen of Dortmund is amazing. He just looks like a monster. Of course other oversized beauties include Rock Hard Ten and Point Given, and they weren't...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-28-2015, 02:05 PM
Replies:
10
Derby Week Morning Chatter
Views:
1,139
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
I trust Welsch and believe he has a good eye, but...
I trust Welsch and believe he has a good eye, but he totally whiffed on Commanding Curve last year. Said he looked bad in his last work. Meanwhile, Bruno De Julio said Commanding Curve had a 5 *...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-28-2015, 11:09 AM
Replies:
10
Derby Week Morning Chatter
Views:
1,139
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
Depends on the source....I read one guy who says...
Depends on the source....I read one guy who says Danzig Moon is lathered up, the next I read says he is thriving. I remember a couple of years ago there were reports of I'll Have Another and a...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-27-2015, 01:54 PM
Replies:
66
Make your best case for a particular longshot to WIN
Views:
7,012
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
I'm going to agree with Danzig Moon. Last just...
I'm going to agree with Danzig Moon. Last just looked like he was ready to take a big step forward, and that pedigree has classic distances all over it. Timeform late pace ratings are in the top 4,...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-27-2015, 12:44 PM
Replies:
16
oaks fillies
Views:
1,723
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
Luminance went over the top in her last and...
Luminance went over the top in her last and Baffert is thinking of pulling out.
I think the Assmussen horse Shook Up is sitting on a big effort, as is Lovely Maria. Both should be decent odds.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-25-2015, 04:24 PM
Replies:
49
Pre-Post Picks
Views:
5,446
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
Focused on Frosted and Dortmund. Won't toss...
Focused on Frosted and Dortmund. Won't toss American Pharoah, but hope he loses the race.
going deep under in some form TBD.
Upstart, Carpe, Pharoah, Danzig, Mubtaahij, Far Right maybe Keen Ice...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-25-2015, 03:33 PM
Replies:
37
Sheet Readers
Views:
6,809
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
I have a lot of respect for Thorograph and their...
I have a lot of respect for Thorograph and their team, but without understanding the methodology and how to read patterns, they are no better than any other figure. One thing that you need to know...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-25-2015, 03:24 PM
Replies:
16
Derby exotic betting strategies
Views:
1,742
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
Multiple tickets going very deep on the 3/4 spots...
Multiple tickets going very deep on the 3/4 spots on supers. Probably something like 3/5/8/10. Will pool my supers with friends with no dimers.
The tri's will have some skinny's and some deep,...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-24-2015, 03:46 PM
Replies:
33
Derby exacta's
Views:
3,545
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
People are tossing Materiality because he didn't...
People are tossing Materiality because he didn't start and 2 and the Curse of Apollo still holds since 1882. While lack of foundation is relevant, it doesn't hold the same importance as it did 20...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-24-2015, 03:42 PM
Replies:
33
Derby exacta's
Views:
3,545
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
I would be a smartass and say "why don't you just...
I would be a smartass and say "why don't you just tell me who you don't like and bet the ALL/ALL exacta?" , but right now I'm working with the same amount of horses in some different order.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-24-2015, 12:10 PM
Replies:
55
Dortmund
Views:
6,526
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
I have my doubts as to whether he will sit off...
I have my doubts as to whether he will sit off the pace, so being involved in a .46/1:10 has me cautious. He's a heck of a horse, but at the same time the rumblings around the Baffert barn have been...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-24-2015, 11:39 AM
Replies:
19
Current 5dimes derby odds
Views:
2,747
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
Best waiting on the short prices because I think ...
Best waiting on the short prices because I think you'd get a few clicks higher, but I do agree that some of the bombs will likely be much less than 5 dimes is showing.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-24-2015, 11:35 AM
Replies:
55
Dortmund
Views:
6,526
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
Can't remember clearly, but wasn't there another...
Can't remember clearly, but wasn't there another speedy horse that was supposed to go with SAB but stumbled at the start, opening the door for an unpressured, though fast pace.
When Bodemeister...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-22-2015, 05:25 PM
Replies:
11
Pioneerof The Nile
Views:
2,321
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
This is what, his 3rd crop? So only 2 crops have...
This is what, his 3rd crop? So only 2 crops have had a chance, and how many 10f graded stakes are there in the US? Not enough to have statistical evidence on one sire with 2 years.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-22-2015, 10:34 AM
Replies:
43
optimum betting strat w/ american pharaoh
Views:
6,610
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
Attack the verticals with longshot closers...
Attack the verticals with longshot closers underneath. Use AP in top 2 spots if you really love him.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-20-2015, 11:29 AM
Replies:
57
Frosted
Views:
5,449
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
This. He was 3w on first turn, and his 2nd...
This.
He was 3w on first turn, and his 2nd turn 4w move had that "winning move" look. If you buy the FOY breathing issue, and it certainly looks plausible if you watch the way he moved then quit,...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-17-2015, 04:19 PM
Replies:
51
Worst Kentucky Derby Win Wager?
Views:
4,407
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
This will be my 25th straight to attend. Had a...
This will be my 25th straight to attend. Had a great run thru the 90's, bad for the next decade.
1991 Hansel
1992 Lil E Tee- just bet Pat Day
1993 Sea Hero- loved the pedigree
1994 Strodes...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-17-2015, 02:59 PM
Replies:
34
How much "ammo" you plan on using for the Derby?
Views:
3,252
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
It kind of depends on how I'm doing with the...
It kind of depends on how I'm doing with the weekend, and for the horizontals, how much I like the other races.
Low side $500, less than half in the win pool and quite a bit on trifectas. If...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-16-2015, 05:25 PM
Replies:
91
TIMEFORMUS TIPS
Views:
15,092
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
I haven't done that, and it's a good idea. I...
I haven't done that, and it's a good idea. I make notes within the TFUS program as I go along because I do like looking at charts, breeding info, pace/fraction info for leader/horse. You have a...
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-16-2015, 05:18 PM
Replies:
51
Worst Kentucky Derby Win Wager?
Views:
4,407
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
The Deputy in 2000 or whatever year Fu Peg won. ...
The Deputy in 2000 or whatever year Fu Peg won.
Bet ArchArchArch in 2011, and still believe he would have run huge if not hurt.
Bet Gemologist in 2012, which was just terrible.
Forum:
**TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL**
04-16-2015, 05:13 PM
Replies:
37
Sheet Readers
Views:
6,809
Posted By
Thunder Gulch
Sheets -Thorograph anyway- definitely pointed to...
Sheets -Thorograph anyway- definitely pointed to Orb
Showing results 1 to 25 of 40
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