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Search: Posts Made By: Half Smoke
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-15-2019, 04:04 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,981
Posted By Half Smoke
yeah, I was gonna pass the race, but it cleared...

yeah, I was gonna pass the race, but it cleared up
the track was labeled good and I think it was actually very close to fast
lucky for me, I wasn't going to bet the mud
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-15-2019, 04:01 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,981
Posted By Half Smoke
No, just for the winners - I am re-posting the...

No, just for the winners - I am re-posting the link here.

but for the others, if you go the free charts at Equibase and you figure 3 points for each length (I'm pretty sure that's roughly correct,...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-14-2019, 07:07 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,981
Posted By Half Smoke
she won again just now, by a nose in the Apple...

she won again just now, by a nose in the Apple Blossom

she's amazing
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-14-2019, 12:57 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,981
Posted By Half Smoke
Final 2 Beyers for the preps are in Owendale...

Final 2 Beyers for the preps are in

Owendale - 98 and

Omaha Beach - 101


for the preps only Omaha Beach and Maximum Security hit 3 digits both getting a 101
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-07-2019, 07:42 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,981
Posted By Half Smoke
the Wood yesterday - another slow prep I...

the Wood yesterday - another slow prep
I don't know the Beyer but it was less than 94
Tacitus final time is 151.23, 1.44 seconds slower than Vino Russo last year who did it 149.79 - and Vino...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-21-2019, 06:35 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,981
Posted By Half Smoke
I got a bet down on Midnight Bisou didn't pay...

I got a bet down on Midnight Bisou
didn't pay much - that's okay

she's one of a very few I don't mind betting on with a short price

she always makes an effort. always closes.

Respect
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-17-2019, 04:34 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,981
Posted By Half Smoke
that spreadsheet is truly great - very...

that spreadsheet is truly great - very interesting

I've never seen anything like that before

thanks a lot
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-17-2019, 03:31 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,981
Posted By Half Smoke
Beyer himself has written a column in 2015...

Beyer himself has written a column in 2015 showing historical figures in the Derby from 1990-2014. The figures were higher prior to 2009. But Beyer says nothing in the article about changes in...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-17-2019, 02:15 PM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,981
Posted By Half Smoke
here are some historical Beyers for the...

here are some historical Beyers for the Preakness:



2009: Rachel Alexandra, 108

2007: Curlin, 111

2006: Bernardini, 113
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-17-2019, 05:11 AM
Replies: 37
Views: 3,981
Posted By Half Smoke
Derby Hopefuls - Slow Beyers

Only 2 have cracked 100 - Hidden Scroll and Maximum Security


since Hidden Scroll's big Beyer now seems suspect (may have been due to an easy trip loose on the lead and loving the slop)

and...
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