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Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-08-2019, 10:12 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 1,715
Posted By Mc990
Fair enough. For what it's worth, I do think...

Fair enough. For what it's worth, I do think Promises Fulfilled has an "alpha" fighting quality to him.... if he gets eyeballed, he's going to fight. Whether that's class or not, I'm not sure.
...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 06-08-2019, 08:04 AM
Replies: 27
Views: 1,715
Posted By Mc990
I think the 6 has a BIG shot today but I'm...

I think the 6 has a BIG shot today but I'm curious to know what you mean by "class"?? Didn't the 3 just beat the 6 as a shorter price five weeks ago?

Do the horses know what class they're in? Is...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-16-2019, 06:59 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 902
Posted By Mc990
Could've been committed to ride Owendale...

Could've been committed to ride Owendale already....

Ownership group certainly no dummies. Can't imagine the horse isn't well meant considering they supplemented.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-16-2019, 05:21 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 902
Posted By Mc990
Doesn't seem "well meant"?...

Doesn't seem "well meant"? Interesting....
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-25-2019, 03:19 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 1,392
Posted By Mc990
Not saying he's your winner but he does have a...

Not saying he's your winner but he does have a forging (fast) pattern on both Ragozin and TG.....

I'll see myself out now.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 04-16-2019, 07:16 PM
Replies: 85
Views: 11,177
Posted By Mc990
This will be an unpopular opinion but I think the...

This will be an unpopular opinion but I think the value may be in tossing Roadster and OB... I'd much rather have the 2nd place finishers out of those races at comparable odds.

Nitpicking here...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 11-01-2018, 09:15 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,312
Posted By Mc990
I wouldn't be surprised to see 5 and 12 run...

I wouldn't be surprised to see 5 and 12 run one-two around the track.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 10-28-2018, 07:55 PM
Replies: 105
Views: 11,215
Posted By Mc990
Breeders cup- Most likely winner, best value and tosses

Best weekend of the racing year is upon us... give me your most likely winner, your value play and your short price toss... good luck to all

Most likely- Bellafina

Value- Sadler's Joy
...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-24-2018, 04:20 PM
Replies: 196
Views: 16,680
Posted By Mc990
Fair enough and best of luck tomorrow. Has...

Fair enough and best of luck tomorrow.

Has 2 standout Ragozin (ground loaded) numbers... no doubt she will take money in all pools based on that alone. She may be all but unplayable in the win...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-24-2018, 03:42 PM
Replies: 196
Views: 16,680
Posted By Mc990
way too slow? on which numbers?

way too slow? on which numbers?
Forum: General Racing Discussion 08-20-2018, 09:23 PM
Replies: 196
Views: 16,680
Posted By Mc990
I think Mendelssohn is a real player in here......

I think Mendelssohn is a real player in here... anything close to his Dubai effort crushes this field (golden rail notwithstanding).

How quickly his bandwagon has emptied out...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 06-05-2018, 12:33 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,660
Posted By Mc990
Quite a few assertions in here. I'll make a few...

Quite a few assertions in here. I'll make a few too... Bravazo's odds will not be commensurate with his chances. That tends to happen when horses outrun their odds in triple crown races.

He's...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 06-04-2018, 06:22 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,660
Posted By Mc990
I think he'll be the biggest underlay in the...

I think he'll be the biggest underlay in the race... and that's saying something
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 06-01-2018, 10:04 AM
Replies: 94
Views: 10,250
Posted By Mc990
If you're of that opinion, how does that shape...

If you're of that opinion, how does that shape your view of the horse for his next start on a 3 week turnaround? Was it a taxing race? Too taxing?

I'm not quite sure how to quantify the quality of...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-29-2018, 02:53 PM
Replies: 90
Views: 9,839
Posted By Mc990
To me it's a game of percentages... so I can't...

To me it's a game of percentages... so I can't say I expect a certain result given the race is a single "trial".

I think he's better than 50% to run at least his derby race

Separate from...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-29-2018, 02:37 PM
Replies: 90
Views: 9,839
Posted By Mc990
I didn't say he was even money... I said he was...

I didn't say he was even money... I said he was even money if he got back to his Wood (maybe slightly better than that actually).

Right now I'd make him 7/2 at worst and yes I expect him to be a...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-29-2018, 02:11 PM
Replies: 90
Views: 9,839
Posted By Mc990
A little surprised VR isn't getting more...

A little surprised VR isn't getting more attention. Think he's extremely live here... for more reasons than pedigree

His derby race could be enough to get it done and a return to his Wood makes...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-22-2018, 01:12 PM
Replies: 73
Views: 16,754
Posted By Mc990
Yes, that is true but at that point they'd both...

Yes, that is true but at that point they'd both be value in the win pool as well and it shouldn't be implied that the value was in the double because it returned a high multiple of the investment.
...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-22-2018, 12:53 PM
Replies: 73
Views: 16,754
Posted By Mc990
Those double combos were underlaid and they'd be...

Those double combos were underlaid and they'd be underlaid if they ran the races again tomorrow. Let's try not to be too results oriented... I know it's difficult. If a horse is underlaid in the win...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-14-2018, 03:46 PM
Replies: 149
Views: 17,944
Posted By Mc990
Wide.

Wide.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-14-2018, 03:30 PM
Replies: 149
Views: 17,944
Posted By Mc990
I'm curious to see the draw but I have to...

I'm curious to see the draw but I have to envision Good Magic getting a similar trip to last year's winner...

It's not like Justify has a huge margin for error over GM. An overconfident ride...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-13-2018, 11:50 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 7,918
Posted By Mc990
I understand your point. I understand your...

I understand your point. I understand your analogy. It all makes sense.

I stand by my statement though that if you are making accurate figures (or accurate on average), then they should hold up...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-13-2018, 03:48 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 7,918
Posted By Mc990
Innumerate? Probably the wrong choice of words...

Innumerate? Probably the wrong choice of words consider the subsequent point you attempted to make.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-13-2018, 10:49 AM
Replies: 81
Views: 7,918
Posted By Mc990
Who did they favor? I suppose Justify but that's...

Who did they favor? I suppose Justify but that's not really relevant. They're not a tout service, they make speed figures.

As it relates to horses getting faster/slower, Ragozin numbers haven't...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-11-2018, 05:50 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 7,918
Posted By Mc990
TRACK COMPOSITION IS DIFFERENT THAN IT USED TO...

TRACK COMPOSITION IS DIFFERENT THAN IT USED TO BE.

Wow.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 293

 
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