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Showing results 1 to 25 of 245
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Posts Made By:
traveler
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-26-2023, 08:00 PM
Replies:
55
Poll:
How do you determine when to wager?
Views:
299,559
Posted By
traveler
Well if we are talking win bets... Instead...
Well if we are talking win bets...
Instead of buying a $2 ticket, suppose we are buying cars for $10,000 with the idea of selling(cashing) them at a profit. If the cars you don't resell are the...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
11-15-2023, 04:59 PM
Replies:
55
Poll:
How do you determine when to wager?
Views:
299,559
Posted By
traveler
IMHO, it's the only type of race worth playing
IMHO, it's the only type of race worth playing
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
09-19-2023, 09:04 PM
Replies:
7
Artificial Intelligence: Questions they should answer
Views:
1,350
Posted By
traveler
Is this similar to the Agents in HSH?
Is this similar to the Agents in HSH?
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-13-2023, 07:31 PM
Replies:
82
Using two handicapping methods
Views:
8,228
Posted By
traveler
6 - 2- and even. You either pick more winners at...
6 - 2- and even. You either pick more winners at a lower price or less winners at a higher price - either way you got a beat a 20% disadvantage in the win hole or your better off spending your time...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-13-2023, 07:26 PM
Replies:
82
Using two handicapping methods
Views:
8,228
Posted By
traveler
great idea
great idea
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-12-2023, 06:57 PM
Replies:
82
Using two handicapping methods
Views:
8,228
Posted By
traveler
So if I'm looking at speed and class and the top...
So if I'm looking at speed and class and the top speed and class horse are out, I get a couple horses that are 2-3 and say 4-2. Now add "your handicapping" - it seems 99.9% of "our" handicapping is...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-26-2023, 03:51 PM
Replies:
38
Pacelines...which ones, how many?
Views:
5,115
Posted By
traveler
The best paceline to use is to "project" what the...
The best paceline to use is to "project" what the horse will run today. Picking a paceline is making an assumption that the horse will replicate a point in time.
Short of that, averaging multiple...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-05-2023, 09:29 AM
Replies:
124
Here comes the AI
Views:
15,931
Posted By
traveler
used IBM Watson a few years back and it's...
used IBM Watson a few years back and it's predictive analytics and MC Sim features. Was interesting but horse racing is down the list of what I want to spend time on.
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
03-28-2023, 09:55 AM
Replies:
46
Saratoga Admission 2023
Views:
5,833
Posted By
traveler
I have a connection thru the Saratoga Reading...
I have a connection thru the Saratoga Reading Room. Private parking and direct track entrance for free. Highball at the club and golf cart to the grandstand. Just a lucky break.32842
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-25-2021, 10:00 AM
Replies:
46
Data Shaping Problem
Views:
6,931
Posted By
traveler
Unless one is willing to bet every race, I don't...
Unless one is willing to bet every race, I don't see the point. The typical "one size fits all" in anything is usually a compromise - fits some better than others(think stretch pants :puke: )....
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
06-23-2021, 09:20 AM
Replies:
46
Data Shaping Problem
Views:
6,931
Posted By
traveler
No idea on weighting. Gonna ask questions if you...
No idea on weighting. Gonna ask questions if you don't mind "Ahab"
The whales have teams because they need teams to develop the model, tweak the model, bet the model, yet YOU are going to...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-30-2020, 12:23 PM
Replies:
135
Bill Benter /Models and Overlays
Views:
27,843
Posted By
traveler
Yes, blending in the tote could erase your edge...
Yes, blending in the tote could erase your edge totally so you should pass. Also, if you are betting using optimal bet strategy, your bet size is a function of your edge. So if line smoothing reduces...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-20-2020, 03:49 PM
Replies:
135
Bill Benter /Models and Overlays
Views:
27,843
Posted By
traveler
Focus on 3 choices? Sure, but it doesn't matter...
Focus on 3 choices? Sure, but it doesn't matter if you focus on the field of 12 or 3 - you start with the field and handicap your way down to say 3. Schwartz always liked idea of half field plus 1...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-19-2020, 07:23 PM
Replies:
135
Bill Benter /Models and Overlays
Views:
27,843
Posted By
traveler
When you say "bet down" - bet down from what -...
When you say "bet down" - bet down from what - the morning line?
From gate loading to final odds?
What if you your models odds-line rankings mirror the public? Your fav wins same % as public, 2nd...
Forum:
Handicapping Software
08-31-2020, 07:22 PM
Replies:
67
HSH Software
Views:
11,067
Posted By
traveler
incoherent, but....BRIS Prime has nothing to do...
incoherent, but....BRIS Prime has nothing to do with HSH and ML is not the "best" factor in HSH. I no longer handicap but am quite familiar with HSH.
Forum:
Handicapping Software
08-31-2020, 08:01 AM
Replies:
67
HSH Software
Views:
11,067
Posted By
traveler
Actually the goal is to extract profit from a...
Actually the goal is to extract profit from a given race - not bet low or high priced horses.
Forum:
Handicapping Software
08-13-2020, 04:47 PM
Replies:
127
JCap
Views:
21,458
Posted By
traveler
Actually Sal, I can't decide which dog I want to...
Actually Sal, I can't decide which dog I want to throw $2 on in this dust-up. Back to the bunker...
Forum:
Handicapping Software
08-13-2020, 03:45 PM
Replies:
127
JCap
Views:
21,458
Posted By
traveler
Never thought I'd long for "PK Truck"..., just...
Never thought I'd long for "PK Truck"..., just sayin:bang:
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
03-03-2020, 10:11 PM
Replies:
237
and who says u shouldn't know what the odds will be in advance
Views:
40,830
Posted By
traveler
serious question - do you have any examples where...
serious question - do you have any examples where the ML maker is right and you are wrong? You seem to be seeing your line is ALWAYS as good or better. Am I missing something?
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
02-26-2020, 08:29 AM
Replies:
237
and who says u shouldn't know what the odds will be in advance
Views:
40,830
Posted By
traveler
"because my simulations are always correct" ...
"because my simulations are always correct"
Must be nice
Forum:
Handicapping Software
11-04-2019, 07:57 PM
Replies:
191
Poll:
2019 Software Poll!
Views:
63,591
Posted By
traveler
Very nicely done. Congrats.
Very nicely done. Congrats.
Forum:
Handicapping Software
10-31-2019, 06:04 PM
Replies:
191
Poll:
2019 Software Poll!
Views:
63,591
Posted By
traveler
Post #122
Post #122
Forum:
Handicapping Software
10-31-2019, 12:30 AM
Replies:
191
Poll:
2019 Software Poll!
Views:
63,591
Posted By
traveler
There you go, anybody can claim anything. You...
There you go, anybody can claim anything. You finally hit it but don't see it - grab the digitalis, you'll be ok.
Forum:
Handicapping Software
10-30-2019, 02:00 PM
Replies:
191
Poll:
2019 Software Poll!
Views:
63,591
Posted By
traveler
Agree, not good to attack when uninformed.
Agree, not good to attack when uninformed.
Forum:
Handicapping Software
10-30-2019, 01:58 PM
Replies:
191
Poll:
2019 Software Poll!
Views:
63,591
Posted By
traveler
Yep, used it extensively. Powerful program - yep,...
Yep, used it extensively. Powerful program - yep, lots of features - yep, most powerful - who knows.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 245
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