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Showing results 1 to 25 of 66
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Posts Made By:
valueguy
Forum:
Handicapping Library
07-24-2012, 06:31 PM
Replies:
97
Poll:
New Dave Schwartz Project: The Renegade Handicapper
Views:
22,127
Posted By
valueguy
Renegade Handicapper.
I like the concept and simplicty.But most of my playing occurs at the race
book where a computer is not avaiable. During the course of developing the
method did you find some kind of correlation...
Forum:
Handicapping Library
06-20-2012, 01:47 PM
Replies:
97
Poll:
New Dave Schwartz Project: The Renegade Handicapper
Views:
22,127
Posted By
valueguy
Odds line construction
Hi Dave. Did you touch upon your method in the advanced Earley/Late seminar? Example if 28% or more of the tote does not contain one of your
contenders then your contanders are overlaid to a small...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
05-27-2012, 12:21 PM
Replies:
43
A vet on Lasix and Milkshaking
Views:
3,912
Posted By
valueguy
Race day meds.
Is there a list somewhere that indicates what states and provinces ban
needle induced meds on race day? Is there any that do?
thanks
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
02-28-2012, 05:16 PM
Replies:
21
Provided Numbers
Views:
3,294
Posted By
valueguy
Bris power numbers.
According to stats i have seen some where ,the top 4 horses win 79-81%
of the time .This is better than most software programs.
In fact its good enough to use as an order of preference seperator....
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
02-16-2012, 08:11 PM
Replies:
58
pool manipulation Charles Town 3rd 2/14
Views:
4,887
Posted By
valueguy
As a hobby player,all i play is small tracks a...
As a hobby player,all i play is small tracks a couple nites a week.
Mostly Sam Houston or DED during the winter.I have been passing a lot of races
because the odds on the faves have been super low...
Forum:
Handicapping Library
01-26-2012, 09:26 PM
Replies:
21
Percentages & Probabilities 2012 - "Review"
Views:
9,341
Posted By
valueguy
I get your drift Tom.Set up a spread sheet so as...
I get your drift Tom.Set up a spread sheet so as your factor determinates
become data input.All i would have to do is expand the P&P worksheet to get
the results i need.
Thanks much.
Forum:
Handicapping Library
01-26-2012, 02:32 PM
Replies:
21
Percentages & Probabilities 2012 - "Review"
Views:
9,341
Posted By
valueguy
This is very good info.But unless you can...
This is very good info.But unless you can computorize the methods in some way
you will burn out very quickly trying to use the systems as a stand alone
platform.I figure it would take 3 hours to do...
Forum:
Handicapping Software
12-22-2011, 01:12 PM
Replies:
18
Overlay publications
Views:
6,779
Posted By
valueguy
Overlay Publications
I tried it a couple of years ago.Found it very labour intensive and it really
wasn,t any improvement to what i was doing at the time.
In this day and age if you can,t get your contenders in 5-8...
Forum:
Handicapping Software
12-22-2011, 12:55 PM
Replies:
7
Colt Cannons Race Prophet
Views:
3,564
Posted By
valueguy
Race Prophet
I do.
Its not great at picking winners,but its great at presenting info.
I use it for running styles and Bris power numbers.
Send me a pm.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-29-2011, 12:08 AM
Replies:
21
First Night with NewPace
Views:
3,184
Posted By
valueguy
Handiman Jets
The JETS i am referring to are the Wpg Jets hockey.When it comes to the NFL
i am sort of partial to the Vikings or the Green Bay Packers.My son married a girl from Minnesota and they are both NFL...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
10-28-2011, 05:14 PM
Replies:
21
First Night with NewPace
Views:
3,184
Posted By
valueguy
New Pace
Have been playing REM last few weeks with a modified New Pace procedure.
Orignal method takes too long unless you have a software program that can speed things up.Even using a spread sheet just...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-06-2011, 10:14 PM
Replies:
185
New Pace
Views:
36,550
Posted By
valueguy
New Pace Reply to Dave.
I use Bris numbers,
I try to follow procedure as instructed by you
I stay away from bets 3/1 0r lower.
I seperate ES ties by jockey%
I seperate late ties by best low reg sort.
All is not lost...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
04-06-2011, 10:55 AM
Replies:
185
New Pace
Views:
36,550
Posted By
valueguy
New Pace
I have been testing for about 2 weeks using small bets with real money.
The results have been negative.I keep going back through the seminar trying
to determine where i am going wrong.I have been...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
01-31-2011, 04:47 PM
Replies:
2
Sam Houston RaceTrack
Views:
1,319
Posted By
valueguy
Sam Houston Bias
From At A Glance (Handicappers Edge)
01/21 to 01/30
5.5 fl dirt...16 races 50% w/w best style E.. Best Post Outside
6. fl dirt......21 races 24% w/w best style EP Best Post Outside
8 fl...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
01-02-2011, 08:05 PM
Replies:
188
Using Chi Square Statistic To Produce A Handicapping Method
Views:
35,090
Posted By
valueguy
single factors
Speed fig at best level good race (good race defined as horse 1 st or 2nd or
within 2 lenghts of winner)best level refers to a comparison of class.This
coupled with best speed of one of the last 2...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
05-06-2010, 12:04 PM
Replies:
35
Race condition that is least chalky
Views:
3,033
Posted By
valueguy
Race condition that is least chalky
According to Robert Rowe(old time handicapper) and my own observations
Field size is the most important varience when it comes to determing favorite
win percentage.I have been making my own value...
Forum:
Handicapping Software
04-22-2010, 05:38 PM
Replies:
5
Anyone tried any of these free programs?
Views:
2,451
Posted By
valueguy
Re Race Prophet
I tried to get to his web site also,no luck.But it looks like Colt Cannon
is starting up a new program as i got to the new Web site but there was nothing on it.
I guess i better back up my copy...
Forum:
Handicapping Software
04-20-2010, 06:19 PM
Replies:
5
Anyone tried any of these free programs?
Views:
2,451
Posted By
valueguy
Free Programs
I have been using Race Prophet for the last few years.Its totally free.I don,t use it to find the winner but use the data that you can organize to suit your game.
Ex.Speed figs (best of last 3...
Forum:
General Racing Discussion
03-22-2010, 07:58 PM
Replies:
20
Need help winning
Views:
1,808
Posted By
valueguy
Reply from 46
Get Fiero's book, Four Quarters of Horse Investing and learn how it is systematically done.
__________________
"If this world is all about winners, what's for the losers?" Jr. Bonner: "Well...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
01-11-2010, 06:29 PM
Replies:
272
Pace Analysis
Views:
20,992
Posted By
valueguy
Pace Analysis
In my humble opinion ,pace is directly related to what you think is the track
bias for the distance and surface.Could be early, late or neutral.
Forum:
HandiFast Handicapping Software
12-09-2009, 04:57 PM
Replies:
292
Handi-Fast
Views:
36,779
Posted By
valueguy
Handiman
Hang in there partner.This is completely unselfish stuff you are doing.
You are definately hanging out with the Buddha.
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
12-06-2009, 12:56 PM
Replies:
35
Picking winners or finding value?
Views:
3,964
Posted By
valueguy
Value or picking a winner.
Great discussion guys .Personally i play for value.I used to try and pick winners but i would find lots of winners but still lose money.Unless you have
some information that is not available to the...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
12-01-2009, 06:06 PM
Replies:
20
Data on clustering of longshots?
Views:
2,758
Posted By
valueguy
Longshot Clusters.
Longshots as far i am concerned are not predicable .They are a random happening.(Thank Goodness) I had an epiphany when i started making an odds
line ala the 80% contender method by Barry Medows...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
09-03-2009, 02:06 PM
Replies:
24
Poll:
Programming yourself to become a winner ,is it possible?
Views:
3,247
Posted By
valueguy
On becoming a winner.
Best book i have ever read on the subject was by Robert Anthony.(Betting on yourself) No raw raw stuff here ,just a shift in attitude .Best advise he had, was to stop thinking in terms of black or...
Forum:
General Handicapping Discussion
02-11-2009, 01:18 PM
Replies:
6
WORKING WITH OTHER PEOPLES FIGURES
Views:
924
Posted By
valueguy
Using other peoples figs.
You indicate that of the 26,000 races viewed only 3.5% were playable.What critera did you use to pick playable races.
Thanks
Showing results 1 to 25 of 66
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