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Search: Posts Made By: valueguy
Forum: Handicapping Library 07-24-2012, 06:31 PM
Replies: 97
Views: 22,127
Posted By valueguy
Renegade Handicapper.

I like the concept and simplicty.But most of my playing occurs at the race
book where a computer is not avaiable. During the course of developing the
method did you find some kind of correlation...
Forum: Handicapping Library 06-20-2012, 01:47 PM
Replies: 97
Views: 22,127
Posted By valueguy
Odds line construction

Hi Dave. Did you touch upon your method in the advanced Earley/Late seminar? Example if 28% or more of the tote does not contain one of your
contenders then your contanders are overlaid to a small...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-27-2012, 12:21 PM
Replies: 43
Views: 3,912
Posted By valueguy
Race day meds.

Is there a list somewhere that indicates what states and provinces ban
needle induced meds on race day? Is there any that do?

thanks
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-28-2012, 05:16 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 3,294
Posted By valueguy
Bris power numbers.

According to stats i have seen some where ,the top 4 horses win 79-81%
of the time .This is better than most software programs.
In fact its good enough to use as an order of preference seperator....
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-16-2012, 08:11 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 4,887
Posted By valueguy
As a hobby player,all i play is small tracks a...

As a hobby player,all i play is small tracks a couple nites a week.
Mostly Sam Houston or DED during the winter.I have been passing a lot of races
because the odds on the faves have been super low...
Forum: Handicapping Library 01-26-2012, 09:26 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 9,341
Posted By valueguy
I get your drift Tom.Set up a spread sheet so as...

I get your drift Tom.Set up a spread sheet so as your factor determinates
become data input.All i would have to do is expand the P&P worksheet to get
the results i need.

Thanks much.
Forum: Handicapping Library 01-26-2012, 02:32 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 9,341
Posted By valueguy
This is very good info.But unless you can...

This is very good info.But unless you can computorize the methods in some way
you will burn out very quickly trying to use the systems as a stand alone
platform.I figure it would take 3 hours to do...
Forum: Handicapping Software 12-22-2011, 01:12 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 6,779
Posted By valueguy
Overlay Publications

I tried it a couple of years ago.Found it very labour intensive and it really
wasn,t any improvement to what i was doing at the time.
In this day and age if you can,t get your contenders in 5-8...
Forum: Handicapping Software 12-22-2011, 12:55 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 3,564
Posted By valueguy
Race Prophet

I do.
Its not great at picking winners,but its great at presenting info.
I use it for running styles and Bris power numbers.
Send me a pm.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-29-2011, 12:08 AM
Replies: 21
Views: 3,184
Posted By valueguy
Handiman Jets

The JETS i am referring to are the Wpg Jets hockey.When it comes to the NFL
i am sort of partial to the Vikings or the Green Bay Packers.My son married a girl from Minnesota and they are both NFL...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 10-28-2011, 05:14 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 3,184
Posted By valueguy
New Pace

Have been playing REM last few weeks with a modified New Pace procedure.
Orignal method takes too long unless you have a software program that can speed things up.Even using a spread sheet just...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-06-2011, 10:14 PM
Replies: 185
Views: 36,550
Posted By valueguy
New Pace Reply to Dave.

I use Bris numbers,
I try to follow procedure as instructed by you
I stay away from bets 3/1 0r lower.
I seperate ES ties by jockey%
I seperate late ties by best low reg sort.
All is not lost...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 04-06-2011, 10:55 AM
Replies: 185
Views: 36,550
Posted By valueguy
New Pace

I have been testing for about 2 weeks using small bets with real money.
The results have been negative.I keep going back through the seminar trying
to determine where i am going wrong.I have been...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-31-2011, 04:47 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 1,319
Posted By valueguy
Sam Houston Bias

From At A Glance (Handicappers Edge)
01/21 to 01/30
5.5 fl dirt...16 races 50% w/w best style E.. Best Post Outside
6. fl dirt......21 races 24% w/w best style EP Best Post Outside
8 fl...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-02-2011, 08:05 PM
Replies: 188
Views: 35,090
Posted By valueguy
single factors

Speed fig at best level good race (good race defined as horse 1 st or 2nd or
within 2 lenghts of winner)best level refers to a comparison of class.This
coupled with best speed of one of the last 2...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-06-2010, 12:04 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,033
Posted By valueguy
Race condition that is least chalky

According to Robert Rowe(old time handicapper) and my own observations
Field size is the most important varience when it comes to determing favorite
win percentage.I have been making my own value...
Forum: Handicapping Software 04-22-2010, 05:38 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 2,451
Posted By valueguy
Re Race Prophet

I tried to get to his web site also,no luck.But it looks like Colt Cannon
is starting up a new program as i got to the new Web site but there was nothing on it.
I guess i better back up my copy...
Forum: Handicapping Software 04-20-2010, 06:19 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 2,451
Posted By valueguy
Free Programs

I have been using Race Prophet for the last few years.Its totally free.I don,t use it to find the winner but use the data that you can organize to suit your game.
Ex.Speed figs (best of last 3...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-22-2010, 07:58 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 1,808
Posted By valueguy
Reply from 46

Get Fiero's book, Four Quarters of Horse Investing and learn how it is systematically done.
__________________
"If this world is all about winners, what's for the losers?" Jr. Bonner: "Well...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 01-11-2010, 06:29 PM
Replies: 272
Views: 20,992
Posted By valueguy
Pace Analysis

In my humble opinion ,pace is directly related to what you think is the track
bias for the distance and surface.Could be early, late or neutral.
Forum: HandiFast Handicapping Software 12-09-2009, 04:57 PM
Replies: 292
Views: 36,779
Posted By valueguy
Handiman

Hang in there partner.This is completely unselfish stuff you are doing.
You are definately hanging out with the Buddha.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-06-2009, 12:56 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 3,964
Posted By valueguy
Value or picking a winner.

Great discussion guys .Personally i play for value.I used to try and pick winners but i would find lots of winners but still lose money.Unless you have
some information that is not available to the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 12-01-2009, 06:06 PM
Replies: 20
Views: 2,758
Posted By valueguy
Lightbulb Longshot Clusters.

Longshots as far i am concerned are not predicable .They are a random happening.(Thank Goodness) I had an epiphany when i started making an odds
line ala the 80% contender method by Barry Medows...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 09-03-2009, 02:06 PM
Replies: 24
Views: 3,247
Posted By valueguy
On becoming a winner.

Best book i have ever read on the subject was by Robert Anthony.(Betting on yourself) No raw raw stuff here ,just a shift in attitude .Best advise he had, was to stop thinking in terms of black or...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-11-2009, 01:18 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 924
Posted By valueguy
Using other peoples figs.

You indicate that of the 26,000 races viewed only 3.5% were playable.What critera did you use to pick playable races.


Thanks
Showing results 1 to 25 of 66

 
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