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Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-08-2019, 12:19 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 3,651
Posted By f2tornado
Yes, the Tapit line has done quite well in recent...

Yes, the Tapit line has done quite well in recent Belmont renewals and I certainly wouldn't write one off at Churchill or Pimlico. Perhaps just a fluky stat in either case given we're dealing with...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-08-2019, 08:51 AM
Replies: 41
Views: 3,651
Posted By f2tornado
I won't write him off entirely either. Coliseum...

I won't write him off entirely either. Coliseum is a nicely bred horse. The dosage profile is about as good as I've seen this crop:

DP = 6-13-14-1-0 (34) DI = 3.25 CD = 0.71

This would...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-07-2019, 08:56 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 3,651
Posted By f2tornado
Perhaps the track was running quite slow for the...

Perhaps the track was running quite slow for the Sham but he would have crossed the finish going an extra half panel in the American Pharoah in approx 1:44.4. That's an extra half only 5.5 seconds...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-07-2019, 06:22 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 3,651
Posted By f2tornado
Thanks for the note. That's what I get for trying...

Thanks for the note. That's what I get for trying to squeeze in a post between phone calls. He did make up at least 4.5 lengths from the 3/4 pole. The adjusted FQ is still uninspiring and the raw...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-07-2019, 02:01 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 3,651
Posted By f2tornado
That final quarter is pedestrian. For what it's...

That final quarter is pedestrian. For what it's worth, i knocked Justify running a 26.09 FQ in the same distance allowance last year... but Justify's final clock was 3.23 seconds faster than...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-05-2019, 08:28 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 3,651
Posted By f2tornado
Good thing I didn't get carried away betting that...

Good thing I didn't get carried away betting that chalk. I'm more skeptical when Baffert sends a horse to a cheap prep without an A-list pilot. Coliseum is more bred like a turf horse to begin...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-04-2019, 09:02 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 3,651
Posted By f2tornado
California based trainers are not winning half...

California based trainers are not winning half the preps east of the Rockies and probably not even a quarter of them. The exemption might be Oaklawn where Baffert goes to avoid running against...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-04-2019, 12:09 PM
Replies: 41
Views: 3,651
Posted By f2tornado
The big preps; Florida Derby, Bluegrass, Wood...

The big preps; Florida Derby, Bluegrass, Wood Memorial, Louisiana Derby, Santa Anita Derby, and Arkansas Derby are typically not won by long distance shippers however this probably has more more to...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-03-2019, 10:31 AM
Replies: 41
Views: 3,651
Posted By f2tornado
:1: Sueno - Hot trainer, cold pilot, coming off...

:1: Sueno - Hot trainer, cold pilot, coming off cheap stakes on GG the all weather surface. Has enough speed to hit the board but would need big improvement to contend for top spot.
:2: Gray...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 01-03-2019, 09:43 AM
Replies: 41
Views: 3,651
Posted By f2tornado
That's most of the California preps yet the...

That's most of the California preps yet the circuit has had no shortage of Derby winners, granted only one from the Sham I'm aware of. That said, there have been some classy Sham winners over the...
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