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Search took 0.06 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: 2low
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-17-2022, 08:38 PM
Replies: 114
Views: 17,331
Posted By 2low
Yep, and the opposite can also be true. I wonder...

Yep, and the opposite can also be true. I wonder how many formerly profitable sports bettors/poker players started life with the horseshoe firmly planted. Those things fall out. Then you lose your...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 05-17-2022, 08:00 PM
Replies: 114
Views: 17,331
Posted By 2low
Not sure anybody will remember me, I used to hang...

Not sure anybody will remember me, I used to hang around a bit. I've been off the past several years building models for sports betting, and have recently turned my attention back to the horses. Once...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-24-2017, 01:31 PM
Replies: 3,659
Views: 264,254
Posted By 2low
My picks on top in Superfectas today: Race...

My picks on top in Superfectas today:

Race 2: :2:
Race 7: :3:
Race 9: :4:

That's all.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-20-2017, 03:12 PM
Replies: 44
Views: 12,226
Posted By 2low
This thread got way too long. ...

This thread got way too long.

http://www.investopedia.com/terms/r/returnoninvestment.asp
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-20-2017, 01:36 AM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
It was the perfect fit, but there was a lot of...

It was the perfect fit, but there was a lot of value in my horses that particular play.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-19-2017, 07:05 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
Pretty good start for the new strategy, and I...

Pretty good start for the new strategy, and I have to admit, as much of a grinder as I tend to be, these superfectas are a lot of fun! Lots of losing, but the wins are much more exciting than a $9...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-16-2017, 02:20 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
I'm going to start playing superfectas, and not...

I'm going to start playing superfectas, and not playing WPS bets.

Of course, I just played my first one and didn't post it here first, and it should be a pretty nice one in the 4th at...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-15-2017, 04:17 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
For the record, and people can do it however they...

For the record, and people can do it however they like, I never intended for this thread to be a "post your plays before the race happens" sort of thread. I enjoyed that EMD did it that way, but I...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-15-2017, 03:57 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
That's my EVERY POST! :lol:

That's my EVERY POST! :lol:
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-11-2017, 11:04 AM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
I am starting to see that the number of...

I am starting to see that the number of "profitable" plays that I have available to me is dwindling. I've been in the midst of a rough patch where nothing seems to go right. The blended...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-06-2017, 02:59 PM
Replies: 58
Views: 4,510
Posted By 2low
I would think looking at a horse's PPs and...

I would think looking at a horse's PPs and recording how much the speed rating moves from race-to-race would be a pretty good indicator of how much each race meant to next race, and so how much last...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-06-2017, 01:11 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
I don't know whether my black box will turn a...

I don't know whether my black box will turn a profit in the end, but I did something really fun yesterday. I looked "inside the numbers" that my program spits out on race 8 at Golden Gate Fields,...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-05-2017, 04:17 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
That was a tough beat. I had it chalked up for...

That was a tough beat. I had it chalked up for you at least twice during the race!
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-05-2017, 01:07 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
Tracks I bet real money on: Prior to this week,...

Tracks I bet real money on: Prior to this week, 204 win, place or show bets for a 55.4% hit rate and 1.08/1 average odds across all winning bets. This week with one day to go, 10/31 hit rate with...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-05-2017, 01:01 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
Average is anything but a smooth ride. Prior...

Average is anything but a smooth ride.

Prior to this week, I had recorded a total of 541 win, place or show bets for a blended hit rate of 44.4%. These numbers are for all tracks, not just the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-01-2017, 03:46 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
Crap. I forgot about the 66% chance of losing. ...

Crap. I forgot about the 66% chance of losing. That always wins.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 03-01-2017, 03:39 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
I'm enjoying a small slump entering March. Let's...

I'm enjoying a small slump entering March. Let's get this 7 home for the win in the 7th at TAM!! Statistically, my numbers show about a 34% chance of winning. Current odds are 10/1.
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-28-2017, 01:31 AM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
I would argue that that's exactly what I am...

I would argue that that's exactly what I am doing, but just in a different way. Maybe a little backstory...

Several years ago when I started building my software, that's what I was doing. I...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-26-2017, 11:55 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
My current data set of races wagered started on...

My current data set of races wagered started on January 18th, and has 173 wagers through today. So, I guess during winter racing, I can expect roughly 35 wagers per week or so. Win, Place and Show...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-26-2017, 11:56 AM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
It's going around. I think I was 1/X with a nice...

It's going around. I think I was 1/X with a nice loss myself. Looking back through my results, it seems that luck is lumpy - long stretches of the bad and shorter, but more intense stretches of the...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-25-2017, 01:41 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
This could be an interesting morning at GP in the...

This could be an interesting morning at GP in the 8th. My software selected the :8: for a win and a show bet. The horse is 30/1 ML, and ordinarily when my software selects a 30/1 ML horse, I hate...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-25-2017, 12:09 AM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
It's fun to see how the "other half" plays the...

It's fun to see how the "other half" plays the game. I'm more of a grinder by nature. Same with poker. I always start at the bottom limits and work my way up.

Anyway, I didn't have much...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-24-2017, 12:35 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
Today is the first time I am wagering against...

Today is the first time I am wagering against winning data. For the first time, I am expecting to net a win over time instead of just seeing what happens.

I won't keep real-time progress because...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-23-2017, 12:33 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
After doing a little more digging through my...

After doing a little more digging through my data, I've determined that I don't have near enough data to be placing wagers on anything other than fast dirt track races. On the six tracks where dry...
Forum: General Handicapping Discussion 02-22-2017, 07:53 PM
Replies: 166
Views: 16,224
Posted By 2low
That last post reminded me, I guess I busted my...

That last post reminded me, I guess I busted my bankroll when I started betting exactas and trifectas. However, the stated goal originally was turning a profit with WPS bets, so if I roll back the...
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