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Showing results 1 to 25 of 29
Search took 0.01 seconds. Search: Posts Made By: jpren37

Forum: General Racing Discussion

03-11-2020, 09:49 AM

Replies: 268

Will Justify get DQ'd?

Views: 33,190

Posted By jpren37

I went back to the thread started 9/11/19 "will...

I went back to the thread started 9/11/19 "will justify get DQ'd ". The response and ensuing posts by PA members seems so prescient in light of FBI indictments...as Yogi would say "its deja vu all...

Forum: General Racing Discussion

03-23-2014, 10:55 PM

Replies: 609

Steve Asmussen accused of animal cruelty by PETA

Views: 57,611

Posted By jpren37

So what then do you make of the farrier's no...

So what then do you make of the farrier's no pulse comments on the video? Maybe I'm wrong but I'm interpreting his comments of not finding a pulse to be a negative in his view.

Forum: General Racing Discussion

03-23-2014, 10:27 PM

Replies: 609

Steve Asmussen accused of animal cruelty by PETA

Views: 57,611

Posted By jpren37

Farrier's comments

In Drape's NY Times article of 3/19, he reports that on the PETA video, the blacksmith,while discussing Nehro's tender feet, points to the horse's right leg and says "He doesn't even have a pulse in...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-27-2013, 07:50 PM

Replies: 181

Change Your Game Forever

Views: 25,128

Posted By jpren37

we're good.

we're good.

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-27-2013, 03:15 PM

Replies: 181

Change Your Game Forever

Views: 25,128

Posted By jpren37

Perhaps. I have been a member here since 2009 and...

Perhaps. I have been a member here since 2009 and have seen posts that I sometimes can't tell if the poster is serious or not. I'm sure other "seasoned" posters may have experienced the same. I...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

08-26-2013, 02:18 PM

Replies: 181

Change Your Game Forever

Views: 25,128

Posted By jpren37

I was under the impression that a negative...

I was under the impression that a negative expectation game such as roulette can never be converted to a positive expectation game in the long run regardless of method, bet progression or system of...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

07-17-2013, 07:20 PM

Replies: 470

Ask a Trainer.

Views: 64,689

Posted By jpren37

thanks guys for your thoughtful responses. I...

thanks guys for your thoughtful responses. I guess what I was trying to get at is something like the following hypothetical:

A horse is coming off a 9 month layoff. As a handicapper, your given a...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

07-17-2013, 11:37 AM

Replies: 470

Ask a Trainer.

Views: 64,689

Posted By jpren37

Chadk66, Northerndancer, Lamboguy, Cannon Shell...

Chadk66, Northerndancer, Lamboguy, Cannon Shell and Mineshaft (sorry if I left out any other trainers; please feel free to reply also).

In regard to works following a layoff (let's say 9 months)....

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

07-15-2013, 02:23 PM

Replies: 42

Bullet Workouts

Views: 3,843

Posted By jpren37

What would you suggest are some good guidelines...

What would you suggest are some good guidelines that the handicapper should pay attention to when evaluating works? For example, are 5 furlong works in under 60 seconds or 6 furlongs in 1:12 or less...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

07-10-2013, 12:48 PM

Replies: 470

Ask a Trainer.

Views: 64,689

Posted By jpren37

Quick thanks to the trainers in this tread for...

Quick thanks to the trainers in this tread for being so forthcoming with your comments. That said I have a question for all of you:

Can you give us your perspective on when a handicapper might be...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

07-09-2013, 02:06 PM

Replies: 470

Ask a Trainer.

Views: 64,689

Posted By jpren37

trainer question: How often does it happen...

trainer question:

How often does it happen that a trainer is not trying to win (I don't mean those situations where the trainer instructs the jock not to push but if the horse wants to run, let...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

07-02-2013, 04:59 PM

Replies: 301

Let's Talk About Jockeys

Views: 20,068

Posted By jpren37

Dave, Since you've been so generous in the past...

Dave, Since you've been so generous in the past with your handicapping insights,I was hoping you might present just such a metric on your next handicapping show!!! :)

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

07-02-2013, 04:13 PM

Replies: 301

Let's Talk About Jockeys

Views: 20,068

Posted By jpren37

Thanks much for responding to my question with...

Thanks much for responding to my question with such a clear response backed by examples.

In my earlier post in this thread I asked about the worth of a technique used to evaluate jocks. It was...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

06-30-2013, 11:20 PM

Replies: 301

Let's Talk About Jockeys

Views: 20,068

Posted By jpren37

Flatstats, Do you find that jocks who have...

Flatstats,

Do you find that jocks who have shown in the past to be weak at routes can improve to become very good at sprints, can go from bad to good on mud etc. If so, do you make allowances for...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

06-30-2013, 09:41 PM

Replies: 301

Let's Talk About Jockeys

Views: 20,068

Posted By jpren37

Traynor, I don't post much here because I'm...

Traynor,

I don't post much here because I'm a relatively new player and don't have a whole lot to contribute yet. Perhaps you can help me with some of my nagging ideas/questions.

If I were to...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

06-30-2013, 06:13 PM

Replies: 301

Let's Talk About Jockeys

Views: 20,068

Posted By jpren37

Perhaps a useful study would be to track who are...

Perhaps a useful study would be to track who are the jocks that out ride their odds.

Forum: Handicapper's Corner

11-20-2012, 02:49 PM

Replies: 98

Value that counts in theory

Views: 9,969

Posted By jpren37

Thaskalos, Some of this is Virgin territory...

Thaskalos,

Some of this is Virgin territory for me so i'm not fully understanding of your post. I'm not sure how one identifies an overlay in the win pool so I certainly would not be able to...

Forum: Handicapper's Corner

11-20-2012, 10:11 AM

Replies: 98

Value that counts in theory

Views: 9,969

Posted By jpren37

Overlay, I don't think Anderson is...

Overlay,

I don't think Anderson is suggesting identifying exacta combinations that are receiving disproportionate play. He's simply saying that by noting the odds and projected payoffs, his gauge...

Forum: Handicapper's Corner

11-20-2012, 07:43 AM

Replies: 98

Value that counts in theory

Views: 9,969

Posted By jpren37

Overlay, If I'm not mistaken, Anderson used...

Overlay,

If I'm not mistaken, Anderson used the Harville formulas to create his gauge. Before a race he would write the initial exacta payouts quickly across the top and down the side on a blank...

Forum: Handicapper's Corner

11-19-2012, 08:30 PM

Replies: 98

Value that counts in theory

Views: 9,969

Posted By jpren37

Anyone, Would it be possible to find...

Anyone,

Would it be possible to find overlays in the win pools in exacta combinations? Back in 1984, I purchased a gauge created by Andy Anderson (I believe he was an accountant/statistician)...

Forum: Handicapper's Corner

04-05-2012, 12:56 PM

Replies: 187

Part 2: SPEED

Views: 22,492

Posted By jpren37

CJ and Rubicon- Thanks for your responses. CJ- I...

CJ and Rubicon- Thanks for your responses. CJ- I noticed in your respnose to "trifectamike" that both of your examples referenced horses coming off layoffs. I remember listening to handicapper Lee...

Forum: Handicapper's Corner

04-05-2012, 05:54 AM

Replies: 187

Part 2: SPEED

Views: 22,492

Posted By jpren37

CJ, If you've determined that a horse is...

CJ,

If you've determined that a horse is declining in form based on recent lower numbers, how do you evaluate that horse for today's race if he is dropping in class (e.g. the horse is running for...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

01-12-2010, 05:21 PM

Replies: 25

Factors/betting method

Views: 2,959

Posted By jpren37

Formula 2002, I can't and i realize now that...

Formula 2002,

I can't and i realize now that is something I should have been looking at while gathering the data. I felt that if I established a win % for each factor and used the post time odds...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

01-12-2010, 02:09 PM

Replies: 25

Factors/betting method

Views: 2,959

Posted By jpren37

markgoldie, I guess I just like to tinker a...

markgoldie,

I guess I just like to tinker a bit. My prior rationale was from a simple hypotheis that the more times a horse ran, the less it's chances to win. So, to test it, I looked at a series...

Forum: General Handicapping Discussion

01-12-2010, 08:16 AM

Replies: 25

Factors/betting method

Views: 2,959

Posted By jpren37

Misscashalot/jonnielu Perhaps in those races...

Misscashalot/jonnielu

Perhaps in those races where my data tells me a horse is an underlay but I like his chances and he's one of the first three favorites, I can look at betting him in the exotic...

Showing results 1 to 25 of 29

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