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Search: Posts Made By: porchy44
Forum: Off Topic - General 06-21-2018, 01:54 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 620
Posted By porchy44
Aligned with political afiliation

4 out of the 5 who voted yes where appointed by a Republican president.

Sales tax is a "regressive tax". Republicans are for regressive taxation.

It seems though for the last several years the...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 06-07-2018, 06:26 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 1,382
Posted By porchy44
Actually I liked the maiden win since it was...

Actually I liked the maiden win since it was coming from the 11 post at Gulfstream at a mile and a sixteenth.Given the short distance between the starting gate and the first turn.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 06-06-2018, 07:32 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 1,382
Posted By porchy44
Pluses and minuses- Hofburg

pluses

1. Traffic problems in Derby. Galloped out well.
2. Jockey is an Ortiz brother riding in New York. (enough said).
3. Fresh Horse (skipped Preakness)
4. Working out well.
5. Sire is...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-24-2018, 06:46 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 6,304
Posted By porchy44
I would rather bet Justify at 1/1 or lower. ...

I would rather bet Justify at 1/1 or lower.

4/1 or higher he would have ZERO chance of winning. He would be so Icey on the odds board, it would shatter.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-20-2018, 06:45 PM
Replies: 123
Views: 5,120
Posted By porchy44
The Derby Winner goes off at 1/5 in the...

The Derby Winner goes off at 1/5 in the Preakness. NO Way your beating Justify with a clear comfortable easy lead. He opens up in the stretch. Probably beats Good Magic and the field by much more....
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-20-2018, 07:34 AM
Replies: 123
Views: 5,120
Posted By porchy44
I believe Jose Ortiz only said what he did to...

I believe Jose Ortiz only said what he did to "appease" Chad Brown.
I'm not second guessing his decision. Jose Ortiz is "the best jockey on the planet" right now.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-19-2018, 08:42 PM
Replies: 40
Views: 1,992
Posted By porchy44
If you would of watched the previous 12 races...

If you would of watched the previous 12 races before the Preakness, you would of drawn the conclusion that the only 2 horses that had a chance of winning was the horses that broke from the gate first...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-19-2018, 08:33 PM
Replies: 243
Views: 13,410
Posted By porchy44
I will also add "WOW" what a speed bias...

I will also add "WOW" what a speed bias today.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-19-2018, 07:28 PM
Replies: 243
Views: 13,410
Posted By porchy44
Horses that won both Derby and Preakness only since 2000

2002- War Emblem (finished 8th at Belmont Stakes)
2003- Funny Cide (finished 3rd at Belmont Stakes)
2004- Smarty Jones (lost Belmont Stakes to Birdstone)
2008- Big Brown (DNF Belmont Stakes)...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-16-2018, 10:27 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 580
Posted By porchy44
Purse money only

Elegant Jem ran for "purse money only" Race 6 Belmont Park May 16th.

What's "the deal" on that ?
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-05-2018, 07:57 PM
Replies: 34
Views: 1,593
Posted By porchy44
Small sample derby statistics.

theory of black swan events.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_swan_theory
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-05-2018, 07:28 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 1,126
Posted By porchy44
"The head scratcher" (My Boy Jack)

Who bet all the money on "My Boy Jack" ??
NBC thought the reason was a lot of people have the name Jack or John.

30/1 morning Line. Off 6/1 . Runs 5th.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-02-2018, 04:36 PM
Replies: 35
Views: 1,917
Posted By porchy44
Running style

Brisnet has Vino Rosso as an (S4). Sustained running style with 4 speed points.
Does anyone happen to have at their disposal the last year A Derby winner had a "S" running style designated by...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-02-2018, 08:33 AM
Replies: 35
Views: 1,917
Posted By porchy44
It's Pletcher's Derby

Pletcher has a leading four horses in the field: Magnum Moon, Audible, Vino Rosso and Noble Indy — three of which will be in the the second gate. Pletcher won last year with Always Dreaming and in...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 04-09-2018, 05:51 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 39,783
Posted By porchy44
The edge in betting late is not to allow anyone...

The edge in betting late is not to allow anyone “get in on it”. If we noticed most winners came from abnornally early money, many people would capitalize on that. My ROI would be higher if I could...
Forum: Off Topic - General 04-05-2018, 11:04 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 560
Posted By porchy44
Yes, I have noticed the same thing. Recently a...

Yes, I have noticed the same thing. Recently a guy passed me going 70mph in a 25mph zone, just to turn into Taco Bell.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-28-2018, 11:09 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 39,783
Posted By porchy44
As stated earlier not a new occurrence.

This thread reminds me of something my father (old railbird) told me one day at the track more than 30 years ago. I was whining to him one day about a winning horse that I bet, the odds coming down...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 03-23-2018, 03:02 PM
Replies: 81
Views: 4,826
Posted By porchy44
Louisiana Derby

"Snapper Sinclair" is my choice. Jockey change from Beschizza to Jose Ortiz makes a difference.

I'm tossing "Bravazo". Stevens and Lukas are not "prime time" any longer. I would not take a short...
Forum: Handicapping Software 03-14-2018, 07:14 AM
Replies: 19
TPR
Views: 2,294
Posted By porchy44
Equisim can be launched in windows 10 simply by...

Equisim can be launched in windows 10 simply by right clicking the application, then clicking on properties, then clicking the compatibility tab. You then can select the version of windows you want...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-11-2018, 04:24 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 39,783
Posted By porchy44
Handicapping angle

Question: How do you know when your horse is poised for a solid effort.
Answer: When his odds drop DURING a race.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-11-2018, 04:06 PM
Replies: 738
Views: 39,783
Posted By porchy44
I have been retired now for a couple of years and...

I have been retired now for a couple of years and watch about 100 races a week. YES, it is "jaw dropping" uncanny how the late money is right on. in summary the late money is 'prophetic".
Forum: Off Topic - General 03-07-2018, 12:38 PM
Replies: 97
Views: 2,625
Posted By porchy44
Hear, hear. Could not of said it better myself.

Hear, hear. Could not of said it better myself.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 03-01-2018, 08:27 AM
Replies: 738
Views: 39,783
Posted By porchy44
Winning horse odds drop vs odds rising past post.

I am not going to deny what my eyes are witnessing.

Horses odds can stay the same, go up, or go down when the gate opens. I submit winning horses odds will go down by 9 times out of 10 when...
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-26-2018, 06:46 PM
Replies: 7,222
Views: 375,786
Posted By porchy44
I hit superfecta's once in a blue moon. I went to...

I hit superfecta's once in a blue moon. I went to the store yesterday. it was crowded. I think the whole town was there.
Forum: Off Topic - General 02-25-2018, 04:44 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 461
Posted By porchy44
Traveled through Chicago once. Seemed like every...

Traveled through Chicago once. Seemed like every mile, I had to stop and pay another toll. can't imagine what it costs to live there. They broke me just traveling by.
Showing results 1 to 25 of 381

 
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