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Search: Posts Made By: classhandicapper
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 12:21 PM
Replies: 52
Views: 2,017
Posted By classhandicapper
If it's a disadvantage in terms of "figures" to...

If it's a disadvantage in terms of "figures" to be so lightly raced and inexperienced going into the Derby then why aren't trainers giving their horses more experience at 2 like they used to and then...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 11:27 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 1,111
Posted By classhandicapper
That set more or less matches my "class oriented"...

That set more or less matches my "class oriented" thinking. I'd probably rate the SA Derby a tad lower relative to the KY Derby.
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 10:19 AM
Replies: 66
Views: 2,070
Posted By classhandicapper
I always felt that many losing players vary their...

I always felt that many losing players vary their handle to match losing whatever they can afford to lose.

The amount they lose each week or month might vary, but let's say they can afford to...
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 10:08 AM
Replies: 66
Views: 2,070
Posted By classhandicapper
+1 I would add Keeneland. People still...

+1

I would add Keeneland.

People still love racing. They just don't love it enough to go to the track all the time to watch battle scarred NW2L claimers and statebreds. It has to be an "event"...
Forum: General Racing Discussion Yesterday, 10:03 AM
Replies: 66
Views: 2,070
Posted By classhandicapper
:lol: The Preakness coverage could have...

:lol:

The Preakness coverage could have shown some birds bathing in the mud and I would have found it more interesting than those two.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 09:53 AM
Replies: 52
Views: 2,017
Posted By classhandicapper
It's kind of odd that the Grade 1 figures seemed...

It's kind of odd that the Grade 1 figures seemed to be shrinking for quite awhile, but in the last few years we've had a flurry of big figures again.

Arrogate 122, 120, 119
American Pharaoh 120...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** Yesterday, 09:31 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 354
Posted By classhandicapper
I think Timeform got it right also. I...

I think Timeform got it right also.

I figured putting up a race at the same distance with similar enough quality horses would help make the comparison. IMO, the evidence suggests the pace was...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-22-2018, 04:22 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 354
Posted By classhandicapper
Preakness/Pimlico Special Pace

Pimlico Special

23.19
47.25
111.58
136.36
155.51


Preakness
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-22-2018, 11:39 AM
Replies: 52
Views: 2,017
Posted By classhandicapper
I thought I read that he was tack walking a week...

I thought I read that he was tack walking a week or so ago and was scheduled to start doing more. I figured he'd be at the galloping stage by now.
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-21-2018, 04:27 PM
Replies: 66
Views: 2,070
Posted By classhandicapper
True story. I knew a guy that used to bet...

True story.

I knew a guy that used to bet 2K a pop fairly routinely when he came to the OTB in my old neighborhood. He would bet that way right into the smallest pools for the day. His horses...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-21-2018, 04:20 PM
Replies: 66
Views: 2,070
Posted By classhandicapper
I agree with you. If you don't mind a small...

I agree with you.

If you don't mind a small indulgence, I'm a reasonable bright guy with an aptitude for this kind of thing (as you and many others here are). I've been studying this game for...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-21-2018, 04:05 PM
Replies: 66
Views: 2,070
Posted By classhandicapper
Yeah, we agree. I just used to spend a lot of...

Yeah, we agree. I just used to spend a lot of time in NYCOTB. I knew a lot the awful types. :-)
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-21-2018, 03:51 PM
Replies: 66
Views: 2,070
Posted By classhandicapper
I'm adding another category to your list and...

I'm adding another category to your list and calling it "truly awful".

Those are people playing hopeless longshots to WPS where they are often wildly overbet. They are playing tough 24% takeout...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-21-2018, 03:40 PM
Replies: 66
Views: 2,070
Posted By classhandicapper
I think the OTBs are dying because the older fans...

I think the OTBs are dying because the older fans are slowly dying off and we probably aren't generating enough new young fans to replace them.

But beyond that I think most fans are losing...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-21-2018, 03:33 PM
Replies: 52
Views: 2,017
Posted By classhandicapper
He and McKinzie both last breezed in March. I...

He and McKinzie both last breezed in March. I think I read that McKinzie is galloping now. I'm not sure about Nero.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-21-2018, 03:30 PM
Replies: 123
Views: 4,142
Posted By classhandicapper
He's never been on the lead, but he's stalked in...

He's never been on the lead, but he's stalked in 2nd and has been a close 3rd a few times depending on the field and pace. He's not a front runner or speed horse by any means. That's why I say if...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-21-2018, 03:08 PM
Replies: 66
Views: 2,070
Posted By classhandicapper
I think what's really happening is that most...

I think what's really happening is that most people are losing around the track take plus breakage (maybe a little more because they avoid heavy favorites that outperform the track take) and there...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-21-2018, 02:46 PM
Replies: 52
Views: 2,017
Posted By classhandicapper
I would not be totally shocked if Ax Man and/or...

I would not be totally shocked if Ax Man and/or McKinzie wind up being Baffert's Haskell, Travers and BC Classic horses.
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-21-2018, 02:30 PM
Replies: 123
Views: 4,142
Posted By classhandicapper
It's questionable how fast that pace was. ...

It's questionable how fast that pace was.

Bravazo is not some spectacular speed horse and he was within 1-3 lengths for most of the early part of the race. That's exactly where you'd expect him...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-21-2018, 09:56 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 1,856
Posted By classhandicapper
I agree with you on comparing players/horses to...

I agree with you on comparing players/horses to the others in their era.

My point was that "good" but not "great" horses (athletes) occasionally have great days or short bursts of greatness, but...
Forum: General Racing Discussion 05-21-2018, 09:50 AM
Replies: 54
Views: 1,856
Posted By classhandicapper
I like the way you think. ;)

I like the way you think. ;)
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-21-2018, 09:27 AM
Replies: 123
Views: 4,142
Posted By classhandicapper
This is the flip side of what happens when the...

This is the flip side of what happens when the jockeys aren't aggressive enough and grab instead.

In a battle up front, the faster and higher quality speed usually puts away the inferior one and...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-20-2018, 05:57 PM
Replies: 158
Views: 5,710
Posted By classhandicapper
I don't think he ran as well yesterday as he did...

I don't think he ran as well yesterday as he did in the Derby.

1. I think a reasonable case can be made that Pimlico was a bit speed favoring yesterday.

2. Justify and Good Magic went at...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-20-2018, 05:35 PM
Replies: 158
Views: 5,710
Posted By classhandicapper
CJ can speak for himself, but given he had those...

CJ can speak for himself, but given he had those horses as very fast and they then went on to great accomplishments, that strongly suggests he was correct when he claimed they were very fast right...
Forum: **TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL** 05-20-2018, 04:28 PM
Replies: 158
Views: 5,710
Posted By classhandicapper
I've always found this kind of thing valuable. ...

I've always found this kind of thing valuable.

A big part of figure making is interpreting the results accurately. If pace isn't part of the analysis, it's going to leave you more open to...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 500

 
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